MLB · NL Central

Nathaniel Lowe

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati RedsDHBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality.

At a glance

AVG

.254↑

OBP

.344

SLG

.479

OPS

.823

23%

Last 10: 7-for-25 (.280) · 0 HR · 6 K · 7 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 192 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.446

Avg Exit V

88.6 mph

Barrel %

11.5%

Hard-Hit %

44.3%

Chase %

25.9%

Whiff %

16.6%

K %

23.4%

BB %

12.0%

Where he hits it

51%

Pull

25%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 41% of BIP · 96.8 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.056OPS18 PA

vs RHP.906OPS174 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	25	.238	.238	.404	7.3%	12.0%	31.6%	5.3%	86.3 mph	14.8°
Changeup	13	.182	.273	.238	11.1%	15.4%	0.0%	0.0%	78.1 mph	19.4°
Slider	8	.250	.375	.131	6.3%	37.5%	60.0%	0.0%	94.9 mph	22.2°
Cutter	5	.500	1.500	.432	8.3%	20.0%	33.3%	33.3%	78.9 mph	28.0°
Curveball	2	.000	.000	.060	12.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	75.0 mph	-17.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Sun Jun 21

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.379

xSLG

.675

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.7

EV90

106.7

Launch angle

13.3°

Sweet-spot%

42.6%

Avg distance

345 ft

EV on barrels

105.2

EV on hard-hit

102.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

62.2%

O-Contact%

72.7%

Z-Contact%

88.3%

Contact%

83.4%

SwStr%

7.1%

CSW%

26.5%

In-zone%

47.1%

1st-pitch swing%

22.9%

2-strike K%

42.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.375

7d K%

29.4%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

12.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.344

14d K%

22.9%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.408

30d K%

21.1%

30d Barrel%

8.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.356

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.548

Behind xwOBA(con)

.406

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.388

Ahead Whiff%

13.5%

2-strike Whiff%

19.2%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.346

RISP

.398

Loaded

.417

High leverage

.391

Clutch

.392

Innings 1-3

.422

Innings 4-6

.469

Innings 7+

.441

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 0.5 Hits

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets · May 27, 2026 · -155

WIN

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