MLB · AL Central

Nick Loftin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Kansas City Royals2B · SPBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerBelow avg

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

At a glance

AVG

.235↑

OBP

.338

SLG

.403

OPS

.741

HR

2

K%

13%

Last 10: 10-for-33 (.303) · 1 HR · 7 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 142 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.304
14
Avg Exit V
87.3 mph
36
Barrel %
6.9%
43
Hard-Hit %
37.3%
17
Chase %
21.3%
94
Whiff %
14.9%
89
K %
13.4%
91
BB %
12.0%
84

Where he hits it

17%LF28%LCF20%CF15%RCF11%RF← Pull

44%

Pull

31%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 95.0 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.735OPS68 PA
vs RHP.746OPS74 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball5.250.250.35437.5%40.0%50.0%0.0%85.3 mph-16.5°
Sinker7.200.200.2810.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%82.0 mph1.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Sun Jun 21
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.286
xSLG
.429
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
110.8
EV90
100.7
Launch angle
12.3°
Sweet-spot%
37.3%
Avg distance
240 ft
EV on barrels
101.0
EV on hard-hit
99.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
59.5%
O-Contact%
69.0%
Z-Contact%
91.1%
Contact%
85.1%
SwStr%
5.9%
CSW%
25.6%
In-zone%
49.0%
1st-pitch swing%
18.2%
2-strike K%
27.9%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.367
7d K%
20.0%
7d Barrel%
11.8%
7d Whiff%
17.4%
14d xwOBA(con)
.373
14d K%
17.6%
14d Barrel%
12.5%
30d xwOBA(con)
.306
30d K%
14.9%
30d Barrel%
7.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.300
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.320
Behind xwOBA(con)
.335
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.257
Ahead Whiff%
10.0%
2-strike Whiff%
17.6%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.311
RISP
.350
Loaded
.625
High leverage
.348
Clutch
.307
Innings 1-3
.373
Innings 4-6
.280
Innings 7+
.287

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

13%13%25%50%

13%

Heart

50%

Shadow

25%

Chase

13%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 4.9 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalthrough Fri May 31
Pitch arsenalusage · velo · spin · break · whiff% · xwOBA
Slider
25%
Curve
13%
Other
63%
PitchUsageVeloSpinBreakZone%SwStr%xwOBA
Slider25.0%49.411247.90.0%0.0%—
Curve12.5%44.2101010.40.0%0.0%—

Based on 8 pitches this season.

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above
xwOBA allowed
.300
1st-pitch strike%
33.3%
Putaway%
0.0%
Recent formlast 5 starts
L5 ERA
0.00
L5 FIP
3.10
L5 K/9
0.0
L5 BB/9
0.0
L5 HR/9
0.0
Pitches/start
8.0
Platoon & times-through
vs LHB xwOBA
.900
vs RHB xwOBA
.000
1st time xwOBA
.300
Inn 7+ ERA
3.90
Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo
7d xwOBA
.300
7d K%
0.0%
7d velo
56.3
14d xwOBA
.300
14d K%
0.0%
30d xwOBA
.300
30d K%
0.0%
30d velo
56.3

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nick Loftin OVER 1.5 Total Bases

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals · Jun 18, 2026 · +175

WIN

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