MLB · AL Central

Zach McKinstry

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Detroit Tigers2B · SPBats: L · Throws: R

FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power. Heating up over the last ten.

At a glance

AVG

.173↑

OBP

.260

SLG

.263

OPS

.523

18%

Last 10: 7-for-30 (.233) · 1 HR · 6 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 177 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.259

Avg Exit V

83.8 mph

Barrel %

2.4%

Hard-Hit %

25.2%

Chase %

27.8%

Whiff %

13.2%

K %

18.1%

BB %

10.7%

Where he hits it

44%

Pull

27%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 20% of BIP · 95.7 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.250OPS24 PA

vs RHP.558OPS153 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	14	.385	.462	.260	9.4%	14.3%	21.4%	0.0%	78.7 mph	11.4°
Curveball	19	.059	.059	.196	19.4%	26.3%	7.7%	0.0%	75.5 mph	8.3°
Changeup	21	.238	.238	.223	18.6%	23.8%	25.0%	0.0%	83.9 mph	12.5°
Sinker	21	.055	.055	.333	6.0%	4.8%	20.4%	5.1%	83.7 mph	5.3°
Slider	28	.197	.355	.350	21.2%	17.9%	25.0%	4.2%	89.6 mph	18.2°
Four-seam	60	.157	.235	.233	8.7%	21.7%	20.5%	2.0%	82.5 mph	15.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Mon Jun 22

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.256

xSLG

.348

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

106.0

EV90

100.5

Launch angle

13.3°

Sweet-spot%

31.7%

Avg distance

330 ft

EV on barrels

100.9

EV on hard-hit

100.1

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

66.5%

O-Contact%

66.7%

Z-Contact%

94.6%

Contact%

86.8%

SwStr%

6.3%

CSW%

23.8%

In-zone%

51.7%

1st-pitch swing%

35.0%

2-strike K%

36.4%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.330

7d K%

15.4%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

13.0%

14d xwOBA(con)

.263

14d K%

17.1%

14d Barrel%

4.2%

30d xwOBA(con)

.246

30d K%

18.4%

30d Barrel%

4.1%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.305

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.267

Behind xwOBA(con)

.217

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.227

Ahead Whiff%

10.8%

2-strike Whiff%

16.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.293

RISP

.352

Loaded

.180

High leverage

.291

Clutch

.408

Innings 1-3

.233

Innings 4-6

.268

Innings 7+

.274

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

Heart

Shadow

50%

Chase

50%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 3.5 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalthrough Fri Sep 19

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.000

1st-pitch strike%

0.0%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

0.00

L5 FIP

3.10

L5 K/9

0.0

L5 BB/9

0.0

L5 HR/9

0.0

Pitches/start

2.0

Platoon & times-through

vs RHB xwOBA

.000

1st time xwOBA

.000

Inn 7+ ERA

0.00

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.000

7d K%

0.0%

7d velo

36.0

14d xwOBA

.000

14d K%

0.0%

30d xwOBA

.000

30d K%

0.0%

30d velo

36.0

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.