№ 01Chase Meidroth has carried a 0.96 OPS across 77 plate appearances against left-handed pitching this season, the exact split this matchup hands him.
№ 02He is hitting .353 against left-handed pitching this season, which keeps the path to multiple bases live even without an extra-base hit.
№ 03Against left-handed four-seamers specifically, Meidroth slugs .706 over 24 plate appearances, attacking the pitch Rodón leans on most.
№ 04Carlos Rodón has walked 19 batters across 31.0 innings for a 5.5 BB/9, putting him in the bottom tier of the league for command.
№ 05Yankee Stadium plays to a 1.19 home run factor for right-handed hitters this season, shortening the route to clearing 1.5 total bases.
§ 01The analysis
The case for Meidroth over 1.5 total bases starts with the platoon. He is hitting .353 with a 0.96 OPS in 77 plate appearances against left-handed pitching this season, and he slugs .706 against left-handed four-seamers across 24 plate appearances. That is the pitch Rodón throws most, and Rodón is also walking 5.5 per nine, which puts him in the bottom tier of the league for command and raises the chance Meidroth sees hittable counts. His season line of .275 with a 0.74 OPS, plus 11 hits in 38 at-bats over his last 10 games, says the bat is in working order. Yankee Stadium adds a 1.19 home run factor for right-handed hitters, which makes a single swing enough to clear the number. The counter is real. Rodón owns a 3.19 ERA across 31.0 innings and has held right-handed batters to a .105 average across 95 matchups, with a 3.40 FIP over his last 5 starts. At +170, the platoon edge and the park factor are doing enough work to take the swing.
§ 02The call
Take Meidroth over 1.5 total bases at +170. The number is built around a hitter whose left-handed splits — .353 average, 0.96 OPS, and a .706 slug against four-seam fastballs — match exactly what Rodón brings to the mound, and Rodón's 5.5 BB/9 keeps free baserunners and deep counts in play. The Yankee Stadium 1.19 home run factor for right-handed hitters lets a single swing clear the line. Rodón's surface ERA and stinginess against righties are the reason this price is plus money. The matchup data is the right side.
Final resultWINChase Meidroth OVER 1.5 Total Bases · +170 Graded Jun 18, 2026