№ 01Turang is hitting .266 with a 0.85 OPS across 248 at-bats, giving him real thump in the lineup against right-handers.
№ 02Against right-handed pitching specifically, Turang is hitting .303 with a 0.98 OPS across 219 plate appearances.
№ 03Gavin Williams throws 50.8% fastballs, and Turang carries a .381 xwOBA against fastballs over 175 plate appearances this year.
№ 04Williams's xERA of 4.45 sits well above his 3.32 ERA, and his last two starts have produced a 5.23 ERA versus 1.29 in the older two of his last five.
№ 05Turang has punished right-handed breaking and cut stuff, with a .653 xwOBA on cutters in 12 plate appearances and a .809 slug on curveballs in 21.
§ 01The analysis
This number is built on a clean lefty-on-righty matchup. Turang has been one of Milwaukee's more productive bats with a .266 average and 0.85 OPS over 248 at-bats, and the split skews even further in his favor against right-handed pitching, where he is hitting .303 with a 0.98 OPS in 219 plate appearances. Gavin Williams brings a 3.32 ERA into the start, but his 4.45 xERA and 3.73 FIP say the contact-quality results have outrun his peripherals, and his recent five-start window shows a 5.23 ERA in the last two outings against 1.29 in the older two. The pitch matchup tilts Turang's way too. Williams leans on his fastball 50.8% of the time, and Turang owns a .381 xwOBA against fastballs across 175 plate appearances, plus a .653 xwOBA on right-handed cutters and a .809 slug on right-handed curveballs. Williams has held lefties to a .183 average, which is the counter to acknowledge, and American Family Field is playing as a 0.94 run environment.
§ 02The call
At +165, Turang over 1.5 total bases is the right side. He gets a right-handed starter whose surface ERA is masking a 4.45 xERA and a trend line that is sliding the wrong way in his last two starts. Turang's profile against this exact pitch mix is strong from the fastball through the cutter and curveball, and his platoon split against righties this season backs the volume. One extra-base hit or two singles cashes this. Take Turang over 1.5 total bases.
Final resultWINBrice Turang OVER 1.5 Total Bases · +165 Graded Jun 18, 2026