Everton vs Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace welcome Everton to Selhurst Park with a devastating distraction problem. The Eagles' focus is squarely on their Conference League final against Rayo Vallecano on May 28—a chance at a first-ever European trophy—and Glasner has made that abundantly clear by rotating heavily and giving his squad a rest day before this fixture. Palace will field a significantly depleted XI missing Doucoure, Nketiah, and others, while Everton face minimal injury concerns beyond Gueye's likely absence. Structurally, Palace have become anemic in attack since Glasner's departure was announced, ranking 19th in shots and struggling to score at home—just one victory since November. Everton, conversely, maintain realistic European ambitions sitting 10th with a top-six finish within reach, creating an enormous motivation differential. The head-to-head record strongly favors Moyes's side: Palace have won just once in their last 22 league meetings, and Everton have lost only twice in 16 away visits to this ground. Recent form shows Palace on an eight-match unbeaten run at home but on a four-game stretch conceding goals, while Everton remain competitive despite a winless stretch—they drew 3-3 at Manchester City and have attacking momentum with Thierno Barry in contention after his brace off the bench.

The market has done its homework pricing Everton as a road favorite at +141 against a home side this distracted and depleted. Palace are saving their energy for Leipzig while Everton are chasing Champions League football with meaningful matches ahead. The historical edge, venue record, injury advantage, and motivational gap all point sharply toward Moyes's side. Everton have the cleaner path to victory and represent excellent value at plus money with everything structurally aligned in their favor.