Key points — 5
- № 01This is a pitching-leaning matchup at Globe Life Field, where the run factor of 0.94 tamps down scoring. Texas sends right-hander Jack Leiter against Kansas City right-hander Michael Wacha. Wacha has been the sharper arm of late, while Leiter's profile is shakier.
- № 02Wacha's last 5 starts ERA sits at 2.18 across 33 innings, and the trend points the right way, his most recent 2 starts produced a 2.08 ERA, even better than the older 2 starts at 1.29. His season ERA of 2.69 and 1.02 WHIP back it up.
- № 03Leiter carries a 4.75 season ERA with a 4.2 FIP and 4.66 xERA, surface and peripherals largely agree he's a below-average arm. His last 5 starts ERA of 4.3 is actually worsening within the window; the newer 2 starts at 6.55 ERA are well above the older 2 at 3.97.
- № 04Both offenses are stuck in deep slumps. Texas grades at -86 on 7-day form and Kansas City at -72; the Royals rank 29 in runs and 26 in OPS, while Texas sits 23 in runs. The Royals are managing just 2.6 runs per game over the last week.
- № 05The bullpens are rested, Texas ranks 10 in usage and Kansas City 6 in lightest usage. Texas's top setup arm Jacob Latz owns a 2.16 ERA and is available, while the Royals' closer Lucas Erceg is shaky with a 6.33 ERA, but his innings are limited late.