№ 01Brooks Lee's platoon split is the whole story here, and his numbers against left-handed pitching sit well below his overall season line.
№ 02Against lefties this year, Lee owns a 0.57 OPS across 104 plate appearances, with a .191 average to match.
№ 03Ryan Weathers has been sharpening across his last 5 starts, with the most recent outings clearly cleaner than the earlier ones.
№ 04Counter risk: Lee has 11 hits in 38 at-bats over his last 10 games, so the bat is warm heading in.
№ 05Further counter: Lee hits .389 off lefty sinkers this year in 19 plate appearances, whiffing on just 6% of them.
§ 01The analysis
The reason to be on Brooks Lee under 0.5 hits at +145 is the platoon gap. Against left-handed pitching this year, Lee carries a 0.57 OPS across 104 plate appearances and a .191 average, both a meaningful step down from his .244 season mark and 0.73 season OPS across 315 at-bats. Ryan Weathers is the lefty in question, and his trend is pointing the right way for this side: over his last 5 starts he has been sharpening, with the most recent outings clearly better than the earlier ones. His season-long peripherals aren't dominant, a 4.09 FIP and a 4.64 xERA across 88.3 innings, but he's still striking out 26.8% of batters, and Yankee Stadium plays at a neutral 1.00 run environment in daylight. The honest risk is that Lee is swinging it well right now, with 11 hits in 38 at-bats over his last 10 games. There's also a specific pitch-type problem: Lee is hitting .389 off left-handed sinkers this season in 19 plate appearances and whiffs on just 6% of them, so if Weathers leans sinker, the matchup edge narrows.
§ 02The call
The price is doing work at +145 on a hitter whose left-handed splits, a 0.57 OPS and a .191 average across 104 plate appearances, are the clearest edge in the matchup. Weathers has trended better across his last 5 starts, and a neutral park backdrop at 1.00 doesn't force any adjustment. The counter is real: Lee is 11-for-38 over his last 10 and crushes lefty sinkers at .389 with a 6% whiff rate. Live with that risk and take the platoon math at plus money.
Final resultLOSSBrooks Lee UNDER 0.5 Hits · +145 Graded Jul 5, 2026