Key points — 5
- № 01The arms tonight are Carlos Rodón for New York and Luis Severino for the Athletics. In just 13 IP across 3 starts this season, Rodón carries a 4.15 ERA, small sample, but the peripherals are sharper, with a 3.02 FIP and a 2.96 xERA both well below the surface number, and no homers allowed.
- № 02Severino has been the more hittable starter, with a 4.23 season ERA and a bloated 1.44 WHIP over 61.7 innings. His last-5 ERA sits at a tidy 3.26, but the within-window trend is worsening, his most recent 2 starts produced a 4.85 ERA against a 1.50 mark in the older pair that flatters the aggregate.
- № 03The offensive gap is stark. New York's bats rank 2 in OPS and 1 in home runs, riding a 70 rolling form score and 5.6 runs per game over the last week. The Athletics, by contrast, are in a deep slump, a -86 form score on a meager 2 runs per game.
- № 04Sutter Health Park plays hot, with a 1.17 run factor and a 1.13 HR factor, the lefty-friendly 1.17 mark suits New York's left-handed power in Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger. Against tonight's righty, the Yankees grade at +33 across 658 PA, while the Athletics slump to -52 vs the lefty Rodón.
- № 05New York's pen is the most rested in baseball, ranked 1 in lightest usage. The catch: closer David Bednar carries a 4.70 season ERA and an ugly 6.10 mark over his last 10, a real question mark late. Oakland runs a ninth-inning committee led by Hogan Harris, whose 2.84 ERA is steadier.