Key points — 5
- № 01Logan Webb takes the ball for San Francisco against Michael Lorenzen for Colorado in a matchup of two struggling rotations. Webb owns a 5.06 ERA across 48 innings, but his peripherals tell a friendlier story, a 3.37 FIP and 4.56 xERA both sit well below his surface mark.
- № 02Lorenzen, by contrast, has been a disaster. His 7.21 season ERA across 53.7 innings is backed by an ugly 1.90 WHIP, and his last 5 starts have produced an 8.64 ERA with no improvement in sight, his most recent 2 starts at a 10.24 ERA are even worse than the older 2 at 9.58. Colorado's staff ranks dead-last at 30 in team ERA.
- № 03Despite both pitchers' troubles, the offenses behind them are anemic. Colorado is slumping hard, a -56 form score with just 3 runs per game over the past week, and the lineup ranks 25 in OPS. San Francisco ranks even worse at 30 in runs scored, though its bats have ticked up to a +10 form score.
- № 04The wind is the swing factor at altitude. Coors carries a run factor of 1.25, but tonight the wind blows in toward home at 17.5 mph, a stiff breeze knocking down carry and partially offsetting the thin air. The HR factor here is a modest 1.06, not the launching pad people picture.
- № 05Both bullpens are rested. San Francisco's pen ranks 8 in lightest usage, and Colorado sits at 14. Colorado runs a ninth-inning committee led by Juan Mejia, who carries a 4.62 ERA. San Francisco's late-inning role is unsettled, but Keaton Winn (1.85 ERA) and Caleb Kilian (2.22 ERA) give them genuine quality in middle relief.