№ 01Drew Rasmussen leans on his fastball 80.9% of the time, and Trammell owns a .355 xwOBA against fastballs across 66 plate appearances this season.
№ 02When Rasmussen mixes in the slider, Trammell has hit .278 off right-handed sliders across 18 plate appearances this year.
№ 03Trammell is batting .273 against right-handed pitching with a 0.78 OPS across 98 plate appearances, a workable platoon profile.
№ 04The counter is Rasmussen's 3.00 xERA across 92.0 innings and a 1.49 FIP over his last 5 starts spanning 33.0 innings.
№ 05Late-inning risk lives with Bryan Baker, whose 1.83 ERA across 34.3 relief innings raises the bar on stealing a hit in the ninth.
§ 01The analysis
The read here starts with pitch mix. Drew Rasmussen throws fastballs 80.9% of the time, and Taylor Trammell has posted a .355 xwOBA against fastballs over 66 plate appearances this season, so the pitch he sees most is the one he handles best. The secondary look reinforces it: Trammell is hitting .278 against right-handed sliders across 18 plate appearances, giving him something to do with Rasmussen's main off-speed offering. The broader platoon profile lines up, too. Trammell is batting .273 against right-handers with a 0.78 OPS across 98 plate appearances, both nudging above his .257 season average and 0.74 OPS across 101 at-bats. Daikin Park is playing at a neutral 1.00 run environment. The risk is real. Rasmussen carries a 3.00 xERA and a 2.85 FIP across 92.0 innings, and his last 5 starts show a 1.49 FIP over 33.0 frames. He's holding left-handed batters to a .213 average across 221 matchups while striking out 25.2% overall, with swinging-strike and K rates running ahead of his baseline. Trammell's form is quiet at 5-for-25 over his last 10 games, and Bryan Baker's 1.83 ERA across 34.3 relief innings looms late.
§ 02The call
This is a pitch-mix bet at +110. Rasmussen is going to pump fastballs, Trammell squares up fastballs at a .355 xwOBA clip across 66 plate appearances, and his .278 mark against right-handed sliders gives him a fallback on the secondary. The reason to sweat is that Rasmussen has been the sharper version of himself lately with a 1.49 FIP over his last 5 starts, lefties are hitting .213 against him across 221 matchups, and Baker's 1.83 ERA slams the door if a knock is still needed in the ninth.
Final resultWINTaylor Trammell OVER 0.5 Hits · +110 Graded Jul 5, 2026