MLB · NL Central

Carson Kelly

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago CubsC · SPBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

At a glance

AVG

.282

OBP

.362

SLG

.390

OPS

.752

HR

4

K%

17%

Last 10: 9-for-32 (.281) · 2 HR · 6 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 199 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.347
40
Avg Exit V
88.5 mph
50
Barrel %
7.0%
45
Hard-Hit %
44.1%
42
Chase %
28.1%
58
Whiff %
20.6%
62
K %
17.1%
77
BB %
9.6%
63

Where he hits it

14%LF25%LCF16%CF25%RCF9%RF← Pull

38%

Pull

32%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 21% of BIP · 94.0 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.979OPS70 PA
vs RHP.633OPS129 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

3 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Sinker16.330.330.3069.3%6.3%20.7%0.0%77.0 mph-5.6°
Four-seam13.330.407.3774.7%0.0%73.6%0.0%93.8 mph24.4°
Cutter2.500.500.6760.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%99.2 mph7.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Fri Jun 19
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.315
xSLG
.497
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.4
EV90
103.6
Launch angle
12.8°
Sweet-spot%
33.6%
Avg distance
274 ft
EV on barrels
102.5
EV on hard-hit
100.9
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
68.1%
O-Contact%
53.6%
Z-Contact%
91.0%
Contact%
79.4%
SwStr%
9.7%
CSW%
25.1%
In-zone%
47.9%
1st-pitch swing%
32.2%
2-strike K%
36.6%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.469
7d K%
15.4%
7d Barrel%
11.1%
7d Whiff%
23.5%
14d xwOBA(con)
.366
14d K%
15.6%
14d Barrel%
8.7%
30d xwOBA(con)
.347
30d K%
15.4%
30d Barrel%
4.1%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.432
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.300
Behind xwOBA(con)
.363
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.332
Ahead Whiff%
13.9%
2-strike Whiff%
20.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.308
RISP
.384
Loaded
.537
High leverage
.344
Clutch
.234
Innings 1-3
.325
Innings 4-6
.391
Innings 7+
.320

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Attack zones

17%0%33%50%

17%

Heart

50%

Shadow

33%

Chase

0%

Waste

Heart = middle · Shadow = edges (command) · 4.7 ft extension

Where he lives around the zone. Heart (red) is the middle, Shadow (gold) the edges (command), Chase (blue) and Waste (slate) further off.

Full Statcast profile

Arsenal · splits · situationalthrough Fri Jun 05
Expected & ratesnot in the panels above
xwOBA allowed
.800
1st-pitch strike%
80.0%
Recent formlast 5 starts
L5 ERA
18.00
L5 FIP
29.10
L5 K/9
0.0
L5 BB/9
0.0
L5 HR/9
18.0
Pitches/start
6.0
Platoon & times-through
vs LHB xwOBA
.000
vs RHB xwOBA
1.000
1st time xwOBA
.800
Inn 7+ ERA
10.40
Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo
7d xwOBA
.800
7d K%
0.0%
7d velo
53.3
14d xwOBA
.800
14d K%
0.0%
30d xwOBA
.800
30d K%
0.0%
30d velo
53.3

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.