MLB · NL Central

Carson Kelly

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago CubsCBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

At a glance

This season

.282

OBP

.362

SLG

.390

OPS

.752

4 HR · 27 RBI · 34 K (17%) · 19 BB · 199 PA

MLB avg · .247 / .318 / .404 · .722 OPS

Last 10 games

.281

RBI

9-for-32

Quality of contact

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season (≥80 AB pool). The dot is this player — further right is better on every metric. Based on 199 plate appearances. "xwOBA (con)" is expected wOBA on contact.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.347

Avg Exit V

88.5 mph

Barrel %

7.0%

Hard-Hit %

44.1%

Chase %

28.1%

Whiff %

20.6%

K %

17.1%

BB %

9.6%

Spray distribution

Where this hitter puts the ball in play. The greener (more saturated) a sector, the larger his share of batted balls there; the pull/center/oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below.

38%

Pull

32%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 21% of BIP · 94.0 mph · 37° LA

Advanced (Statcast)

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Fri Jun 19

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.315

xSLG

.497

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

108.4

EV90

103.6

Launch angle

12.8°

Sweet-spot%

33.6%

Avg distance

274 ft

EV on barrels

102.5

EV on hard-hit

100.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.1%

O-Contact%

53.6%

Z-Contact%

91.0%

Contact%

79.4%

SwStr%

9.7%

CSW%

25.1%

In-zone%

47.9%

1st-pitch swing%

32.2%

2-strike K%

36.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.469

7d K%

15.4%

7d Barrel%

11.1%

7d Whiff%

23.5%

14d xwOBA(con)

.366

14d K%

15.6%

14d Barrel%

8.7%

30d xwOBA(con)

.347

30d K%

15.4%

30d Barrel%

4.1%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.432

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.300

Behind xwOBA(con)

.363

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.332

Ahead Whiff%

13.9%

2-strike Whiff%

20.5%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.308

RISP

.384

Loaded

.537

High leverage

.344

Clutch

.234

Innings 1-3

.325

Innings 4-6

.391

Innings 7+

.320

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Split by opposing hand

Hits lefties much harder than righties.

Stat	League	vs Lefties	vs Righties
BA	.247	.333	.256
OBP	.318	.429	.326
SLG	.404	.550	.308
OPS	.722	.979	.633
Sample	—	70 PA	129 PA

Pitch-by-pitch breakdown

How he performs against each pitch. Filter by pitch type, opposing pitcher hand, or recency. Color signal: green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Slider	64	.219	.364	.285	32.7%	26.6%	35.1%	7.1%	89.1 mph	13.9°
Four-seam	58	.301	.339	.338	8.3%	12.1%	47.8%	10.8%	90.9 mph	23.5°
Sinker	47	.350	.398	.343	8.7%	10.6%	38.7%	3.0%	86.2 mph	0.4°
Cutter	7	.500	.500	.428	6.7%	0.0%	28.6%	0.0%	86.6 mph	9.7°

Advanced (Statcast)

Arsenal · splits · situationalthrough Fri Jun 05

Expected & ratesnot in the panels above

xwOBA allowed

.800

1st-pitch strike%

80.0%

Recent formlast 5 starts

L5 ERA

18.00

L5 FIP

29.10

L5 K/9

0.0

L5 BB/9

0.0

L5 HR/9

18.0

Pitches/start

6.0

Platoon & times-through

vs LHB xwOBA

.000

vs RHB xwOBA

1.000

1st time xwOBA

.800

Inn 7+ ERA

10.40

Rolling formxwOBA allowed / K% / SwStr% / velo

7d xwOBA

.800

7d K%

0.0%

7d velo

53.3

14d xwOBA

.800

14d K%

0.0%

30d xwOBA

.800

30d K%

0.0%

30d velo

53.3

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.