MLB · AL East

Nathan Lukes

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

At a glance

AVG

.304

OBP

.349

SLG

.407

OPS

.757

HR

2

K%

15%

Last 10: 10-for-35 (.286) · 1 HR · 7 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 146 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.324
25
Avg Exit V
85.4 mph
18
Barrel %
0.9%
2
Hard-Hit %
30.7%
7
Chase %
37.8%
12
Whiff %
15.8%
87
K %
15.1%
86
BB %
4.1%
8

Where he hits it

14%LF19%LCF18%CF15%RCF22%RFPull →

42%

Pull

29%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 82.6 mph · 39° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.393OPS24 PA
vs RHP.825OPS122 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

1 pitch · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball8.5001.000.4607.1%12.5%28.6%0.0%90.6 mph17.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Sat Jun 20
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.333
xSLG
.419
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.5
EV90
100.7
Launch angle
10.6°
Sweet-spot%
33.3%
Avg distance
300 ft
EV on barrels
100.8
EV on hard-hit
100.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
64.2%
O-Contact%
83.0%
Z-Contact%
84.9%
Contact%
84.2%
SwStr%
8.1%
CSW%
24.3%
In-zone%
49.3%
1st-pitch swing%
29.9%
2-strike K%
27.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.269
7d K%
0.0%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
15.8%
14d xwOBA(con)
.288
14d K%
18.6%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.343
30d K%
16.7%
30d Barrel%
1.5%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.279
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.301
Behind xwOBA(con)
.364
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.306
Ahead Whiff%
11.7%
2-strike Whiff%
9.9%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.346
RISP
.277
Loaded
.417
High leverage
.374
Clutch
.337
Innings 1-3
.331
Innings 4-6
.293
Innings 7+
.342

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathan Lukes OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 18, 2026 · +145

WIN

Nathan Lukes OVER 1.5 Total Bases

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays · Jun 12, 2026 · +195

LOSS

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