MLB · AL East
Nathan Lukes
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.
Prop hit rates
How often Nathan Lukes has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold40%57%60%
- Over 1.520%27%24%
- Over 2.50%0%5%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.50%10%7%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.530%37%35%
- Over 2.510%13%15%
- Over 3.510%13%11%
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At a glance
AVG
.276↓
OBP
.335
SLG
.383
OPS
.717
HR
5
K%
15%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 266 PA.
Where he hits it
41%
Pull
27%
Center
32%
Oppo
Pull-air 29% of BIP · 88.7 mph · 40° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↓ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 79 | .305 | .360 | .301 | 15.1% | 16.5% | 35.4% | 0.0% | 85.5 mph | 13.7° |
| Sinker | 56 | .200 | .220 | .246 | 10.3% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 0.0% | 87.5 mph | -1.4° |
| Changeup | 39 | .308 | .410 | .259 | 11.5% | 5.1% | 14.6% | 2.4% | 82.6 mph | 6.5° |
| Slider | 39 | .260 | .524 | .324 | 25.7% | 17.9% | 34.6% | 3.2% | 85.7 mph | 10.6° |
| Curveball | 25 | .320 | .680 | .356 | 14.6% | 12.0% | 45.5% | 0.0% | 86.8 mph | 15.6° |
| Cutter | 18 | .412 | .412 | .304 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 83.5 mph | 20.9° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.