MLB · AL East
Nathan Lukes
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.
Prop hit rates
How often Nathan Lukes has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold40%57%60%
- Over 1.520%27%24%
- Over 2.50%0%5%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.50%10%7%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.530%37%35%
- Over 2.510%13%15%
- Over 3.510%13%11%
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At a glance
AVG
.276↓
OBP
.335
SLG
.383
OPS
.717
HR
5
K%
15%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 266 PA.
Where he hits it
41%
Pull
27%
Center
32%
Oppo
Pull-air 29% of BIP · 88.7 mph · 40° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↓ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 20 | .263 | .263 | .261 | 11.5% | 10.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 84.8 mph | 6.1° |
| Sinker | 19 | .140 | .211 | .285 | 11.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 87.3 mph | -9.7° |
| Changeup | 14 | .077 | .154 | .221 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 78.8 mph | 2.5° |
| Slider | 13 | .182 | .274 | .273 | 25.6% | 23.1% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 94.9 mph | 26.3° |
| Curveball | 7 | .286 | .714 | .278 | 20.0% | 14.3% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 80.0 mph | 7.5° |
| Cutter | 7 | .714 | .714 | .316 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 0.0% | 84.7 mph | 22.6° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.