Skip to content

MLB · AL East

Nathan Lukes

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Nathan Lukes has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    40%57%60%
  • Over 1.5
    20%27%24%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    0%10%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%37%35%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%15%
  • Over 3.5
    10%13%11%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.276

OBP

.335

SLG

.383

OPS

.717

HR

5

K%

15%

Last 10: 8-for-34 (.235) · 0 HR · 5 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 266 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.303
14
Avg Exit V
85.2 mph
17
Barrel %
1.0%
2
Hard-Hit %
30.7%
7
Chase %
34.7%
25
Whiff %
15.1%
90
K %
14.7%
88
BB %
6.4%
26

Where he hits it

19%LF20%LCF14%CF15%RCF23%RFPull →

41%

Pull

27%

Center

32%

Oppo

Pull-air 29% of BIP · 88.7 mph · 40° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.359OPS44 PA
vs RHP.785OPS222 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

1 pitch · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter18.412.412.30417.0%16.7%28.6%0.0%83.5 mph20.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.307
xSLG
.397
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.5
EV90
100.4
Launch angle
9.7°
Sweet-spot%
30.2%
Avg distance
318 ft
EV on barrels
101.6
EV on hard-hit
99.5
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.5%
O-Contact%
80.3%
Z-Contact%
87.4%
Contact%
84.9%
SwStr%
7.5%
CSW%
23.4%
In-zone%
49.5%
1st-pitch swing%
27.7%
2-strike K%
27.1%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.317
7d K%
16.0%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
12.2%
14d xwOBA(con)
.237
14d K%
14.9%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.240
30d K%
12.0%
30d Barrel%
0.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.245
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.313
Behind xwOBA(con)
.316
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.280
Ahead Whiff%
12.4%
2-strike Whiff%
11.0%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.323
RISP
.283
Loaded
.417
High leverage
.360
Clutch
.342
Innings 1-3
.296
Innings 4-6
.280
Innings 7+
.335

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side