MLB · AL East

Nathan Lukes

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysOFBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerPoor

At a glance

This season

.311

OBP

.357

SLG

.417

OPS

.773

2 HR · 14 RBI · 22 K (15%) · 6 BB · 143 PA

MLB avg · .247 / .318 / .404 · .722 OPS

Last 10 games

.306

RBI

11-for-36

Quality of contact

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season (≥80 AB pool). The dot is this player — further right is better on every metric. Based on 143 plate appearances. "xwOBA (con)" is expected wOBA on contact.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.327

Avg Exit V

85.3 mph

Barrel %

0.9%

Hard-Hit %

30.6%

Chase %

37.9%

Whiff %

16.2%

K %

15.4%

BB %

4.2%

Spray distribution

Where this hitter puts the ball in play. The greener (more saturated) a sector, the larger his share of batted balls there; the pull/center/oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below.

41%

Pull

30%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 82.6 mph · 39° LA

Advanced (Statcast)

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Fri Jun 19

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.336

xSLG

.424

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

107.5

EV90

100.8

Launch angle

11.0°

Sweet-spot%

34.2%

Avg distance

304 ft

EV on barrels

100.8

EV on hard-hit

100.1

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

64.2%

O-Contact%

82.7%

Z-Contact%

84.5%

Contact%

83.9%

SwStr%

8.2%

CSW%

24.5%

In-zone%

49.3%

1st-pitch swing%

29.2%

2-strike K%

28.2%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.269

7d K%

13.6%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

25.0%

14d xwOBA(con)

.285

14d K%

20.4%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.350

30d K%

17.2%

30d Barrel%

1.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.294

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.301

Behind xwOBA(con)

.364

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.309

Ahead Whiff%

11.8%

2-strike Whiff%

10.2%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.354

RISP

.289

Loaded

.417

High leverage

.383

Clutch

.337

Innings 1-3

.338

Innings 4-6

.295

Innings 7+

.342

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Split by opposing hand

Hits righties much harder than lefties.

Stat	League	vs Lefties	vs Righties
BA	.247	.150	.339
OBP	.318	.261	.375
SLG	.404	.150	.464
OPS	.722	.411	.839
Sample	—	23 PA	120 PA

Pitch-by-pitch breakdown

How he performs against each pitch. Filter by pitch type, opposing pitcher hand, or recency. Color signal: green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	11	.200	.200	.297	28.6%	27.3%	28.6%	0.0%	82.3 mph	19.3°
Changeup	20	.400	.550	.277	10.9%	5.0%	21.7%	4.3%	84.9 mph	6.8°
Slider	20	.325	.600	.291	22.4%	15.0%	22.0%	0.0%	82.2 mph	11.4°
Four-seam	44	.332	.358	.314	16.0%	18.2%	33.2%	0.0%	85.8 mph	18.3°

Recent SkegBets picks

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