MLB · NL Central

Nathaniel Lowe

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati RedsDHBats: L · Throws: R

FormHotPowerAbove avg

At a glance

This season

.252

OBP

.337

SLG

.478

OPS

.816

9 HR · 26 RBI · 44 K (24%) · 21 BB · 184 PA

MLB avg · .247 / .318 / .404 · .722 OPS

Last 10 games

.320

RBI

8-for-25

Quality of contact

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season (≥80 AB pool). The dot is this player — further right is better on every metric. Based on 184 plate appearances. "xwOBA (con)" is expected wOBA on contact.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.452

Avg Exit V

88.9 mph

Barrel %

12.0%

Hard-Hit %

44.4%

Chase %

26.3%

Whiff %

17.2%

K %

23.9%

BB %

11.4%

Spray distribution

Where this hitter puts the ball in play. The greener (more saturated) a sector, the larger his share of batted balls there; the pull/center/oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below.

51%

Pull

25%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 41% of BIP · 96.8 mph · 34° LA

Advanced (Statcast)

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Fri Jun 19

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.380

xSLG

.687

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.7

EV90

106.8

Launch angle

13.6°

Sweet-spot%

43.6%

Avg distance

351 ft

EV on barrels

105.2

EV on hard-hit

102.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

62.6%

O-Contact%

71.7%

Z-Contact%

87.9%

Contact%

82.8%

SwStr%

7.5%

CSW%

26.7%

In-zone%

47.4%

1st-pitch swing%

23.4%

2-strike K%

43.0%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.369

7d K%

31.3%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

15.4%

14d xwOBA(con)

.357

14d K%

25.8%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.417

30d K%

22.1%

30d Barrel%

9.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.356

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.557

Behind xwOBA(con)

.415

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.392

Ahead Whiff%

14.1%

2-strike Whiff%

20.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.331

RISP

.410

Loaded

.417

High leverage

.390

Clutch

.416

Innings 1-3

.430

Innings 4-6

.474

Innings 7+

.440

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Split by opposing hand

Hits righties much harder than lefties.

Stat	League	vs Lefties	vs Righties
BA	.247	.000	.279
OBP	.318	.059	.365
SLG	.404	.000	.531
OPS	.722	.059	.896
Sample	—	17 PA	167 PA

Pitch-by-pitch breakdown

How he performs against each pitch. Filter by pitch type, opposing pitcher hand, or recency. Color signal: green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

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3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Sinker	27	.217	.379	.406	17.9%	22.2%	60.9%	8.8%	92.2 mph	9.2°
Curveball	13	.400	1.100	.495	20.0%	23.1%	57.1%	28.6%	90.3 mph	8.7°
Cutter	12	.545	1.364	.561	8.7%	16.7%	66.7%	44.4%	93.2 mph	18.7°

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 0.5 Hits

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets · May 27, 2026 · -155

WIN

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