At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
75.4
▲ L5 103.4
Rec/g
5.1
▲ L5 8.2
Tgt/g
7.8
▲ L5 12.0
Rec TD/g
0.59
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 82% | 100% | 88% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 71% | 100% | 88% | 56% |
| 59.5 | 71% | 100% | 88% | 56% |
| 69.5 | 65% | 100% | 75% | 56% |
| 79.5 | 59% | 100% | 63% | 56% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 80% | 50% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 100% | 75% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 100% | 63% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 35% | 100% | 25% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 100% | 25% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 18% | 60% | 13% | 22% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 71% | 100% | 63% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 100% | 38% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 80% | 13% | 33% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
35%
Air-yards share
62%
Rec EPA/game
2.9
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
81.1
8 g
Away
70.3
9 g
In wins
97.0
4 g
In losses
68.8
13 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ MIA | L 17-20 | -3.5 | 49.5 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 39 | 8 | 21% |
| 2 | vs CLE | L 13-18 | +3 | 41.5 | 4 | 2 | 94 | 0 | 81 | 22 | 15% |
| 3 | @ BUF | L 10-47 | -4 | 46.5 | 9 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 72 | 31 | 20% |
| 4 | @ HOU | L 20-24 | -5.5 | 44.5 | 9 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 132 | 20 | 28% |
| 5 | vs IND | W 37-34 | +3.5 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 122 | 1 | 109 | 68 | 24% |
| 6 | @ CHI | L 16-35 | +1.5 | 44.5 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 65 | 17 | 17% |
| 7 | vs NE | W 32-16 | +6.5 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 1 | 64 | 25 | 25% |
| 8 | vs GB | L 27-30 | -3.5 | 49 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 1 | 55 | 22 | 13% |
| 9 | @ PHI | L 23-28 | -7.5 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 13% |
| 10 | vs MIN | L 7-12 | -7 | 42.5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 14% |
| 11 | @ DET | L 6-52 | -14 | 47.5 | 7 | 5 | 82 | 0 | 97 | 47 | 25% |
| 13 | vs HOU | L 20-23 | -3.5 | 44.5 | 10 | 4 | 76 | 1 | 210 | 56 | 24% |
| 14 | @ TEN | W 10-6 | -3 | 40 | 12 | 8 | 86 | 0 | 113 | 26 | 40% |
| 15 | vs NYJ | L 25-32 | -3.5 | 41.5 | 14 | 10 | 105 | 2 | 86 | 84 | 33% |
| 16 | @ LV | L 14-19 | -2.5 | 41.5 | 13 | 9 | 132 | 1 | 140 | 56 | 37% |
| 17 | vs TEN | W 20-13 | -1 | 38 | 10 | 7 | 91 | 1 | 78 | 46 | 48% |
| 18 | @ IND | L 23-26 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 11 | 7 | 103 | 0 | 167 | 26 | 35% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).