At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
70.2
▼ L5 62.0
Rec/g
6.6
▼ L5 5.6
Tgt/g
9.0
▼ L5 8.0
Rec TD/g
0.29
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 82% | 80% | 63% | 100% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 60% | 50% | 78% |
| 59.5 | 47% | 40% | 25% | 67% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 40% | 25% | 67% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 20% | 13% | 56% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 20% | 13% | 56% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 88% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 60% | 63% | 89% |
| 4.5 | 65% | 40% | 38% | 89% |
| 5.5 | 53% | 40% | 25% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 40% | 25% | 67% |
| 7.5 | 41% | 20% | 25% | 56% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 71% | 60% | 50% | 89% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 40% | 50% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 20% | 13% | 44% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
26%
Air-yards share
34%
Rec EPA/game
-2.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
51.4
8 g
Away
87.0
9 g
In wins
73.3
4 g
In losses
69.3
13 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ LAC | L 10-22 | -3 | 41 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 39 | 16 | 25% |
| 2 | @ BAL | W 26-23 | -9 | 41 | 9 | 9 | 98 | 0 | 56 | 42 | 25% |
| 3 | vs CAR | L 22-36 | +5.5 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 22 | 23 | 10% |
| 4 | vs CLE | W 20-16 | -2.5 | 36.5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 17 | 13% |
| 5 | @ DEN | L 18-34 | -3 | 36 | 12 | 8 | 97 | 1 | 82 | 63 | 33% |
| 6 | vs PIT | L 13-32 | -3.5 | 36.5 | 10 | 9 | 71 | 0 | 53 | 45 | 27% |
| 7 | @ LA | L 15-20 | -7 | 43 | 14 | 10 | 93 | 0 | 65 | 45 | 40% |
| 8 | vs KC | L 20-27 | -9 | 42 | 5 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 29 | 29 | 19% |
| 9 | @ CIN | L 24-41 | -8 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 47 | 20 | 25% |
| 11 | @ MIA | L 19-34 | -8 | 43.5 | 16 | 13 | 126 | 1 | 64 | 78 | 41% |
| 12 | vs DEN | L 19-29 | -6.5 | 41.5 | 10 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 42 | 17 | 22% |
| 13 | @ KC | L 17-19 | -13.5 | 42 | 14 | 10 | 140 | 1 | 108 | 50 | 41% |
| 14 | @ TB | L 13-28 | -7 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 33 | 21 | 14% |
| 15 | vs ATL | L 9-15 | -6.5 | 44.5 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 72 | 19 | 18% |
| 16 | vs JAX | W 19-14 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 13 | 11 | 99 | 0 | 43 | 64 | 35% |
| 17 | @ NO | W 25-10 | +2 | 37.5 | 7 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 49 | 28 | 20% |
| 18 | vs LAC | L 20-34 | -7 | 42.5 | 9 | 4 | 50 | 1 | 100 | 19 | 26% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).