At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
33.9
▼ L5 23.2
Rec/g
3.4
▼ L5 3.0
Tgt/g
3.9
▼ L5 3.6
Rec TD/g
0.29
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 36% | 20% | 50% | 17% |
| 49.5 | 29% | 20% | 38% | 17% |
| 59.5 | 21% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| 69.5 | 14% | 0% | 13% | 17% |
| 79.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 89.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 57% | 40% | 63% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 20% | 25% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
| 7.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 29% | 20% | 25% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
| 8.5 | 14% | 20% | 13% | 17% |
| 10.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
8%
Air-yards share
5%
Rec EPA/game
-1.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
36.6
8 g
Away
30.2
6 g
In wins
33.6
5 g
In losses
34.0
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs TEN | W 24-17 | +4 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3% |
| 2 | @ HOU | L 13-19 | -6 | 45.5 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 44 | 10 | 15% |
| 3 | @ IND | L 16-21 | -1.5 | 43 | 11 | 10 | 97 | 1 | 94 | 21 | 23% |
| 4 | vs LA | W 24-18 | +3 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 14% |
| 5 | vs CAR | W 36-10 | +4 | 40 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 0 | 33 | 29 | 14% |
| 6 | vs JAX | W 35-16 | -1.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 5 | 70 | 2 | 27 | 43 | 19% |
| 8 | @ WAS | L 15-18 | -1.5 | 46.5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5% |
| 10 | vs NE | L 3-19 | +6.5 | 37.5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 15% |
| 11 | vs GB | L 19-20 | -6 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 28 | 14 | 10% |
| 12 | vs MIN | L 27-30 | -3 | 39.5 | 10 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 84 | 23 | 21% |
| 13 | @ DET | L 20-23 | -9.5 | 47.5 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 8% |
| 15 | @ MIN | L 12-30 | -7 | 43.5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3% |
| 16 | vs DET | L 17-34 | -7 | 47.5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5% |
| 18 | @ GB | W 24-22 | -10 | 41.5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).