At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
19.6
▲ L5 25.2
Rec/g
2.2
▲ L5 3.0
Tgt/g
3.2
▲ L5 3.8
Rec TD/g
0.18
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 24% | 40% | 25% | 22% |
| 49.5 | 18% | 40% | 25% | 11% |
| 59.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 35% | 40% | 38% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 40% | 13% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 40% | 13% | 11% |
| 5.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 18% | 40% | 13% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 22% |
| 8.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
26%
Air-yards share
1%
Rec EPA/game
-1.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
21.5
8 g
Away
18.0
9 g
In wins
21.3
12 g
In losses
15.8
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs DEN | W 31-7 | +7.5 | 48.5 | 3 | 3 | 68 | 1 | 24 | 44 | 12% |
| 20* | vs BAL | W 27-25 | -1.5 | 51.5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10% |
| 21* | @ KC | L 29-32 | -1.5 | 49.5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10% |
| 1 | vs ARI | W 34-28 | +6.5 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9% |
| 2 | @ MIA | W 31-10 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 11% |
| 3 | vs JAX | W 47-10 | +4 | 46.5 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10% |
| 4 | @ BAL | L 10-35 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7% |
| 5 | @ HOU | L 20-23 | -1 | 48 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 14% |
| 6 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +1 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 49 | 3 | 17% |
| 7 | vs TEN | W 34-10 | +9.5 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3% |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 30-27 | +6.5 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3% |
| 10 | @ IND | W 30-20 | +4.5 | 46.5 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 59 | 10 | 23% |
| 11 | vs KC | W 30-21 | +2.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 5 | 58 | 1 | 28 | 30 | 16% |
| 13 | vs SF | W 35-10 | +6.5 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 14 | @ LA | L 42-44 | +3.5 | 49.5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8% |
| 15 | @ DET | W 48-42 | -2.5 | 55.5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 6% |
| 18 | @ NE | L 16-23 | +3 | 36.5 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 2 | 60 | 26% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).