At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
74.8
▲ L5 95.0
Rec/g
5.9
▲ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
9.3
▲ L5 10.4
Rec TD/g
0.53
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 82% | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 82% | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| 59.5 | 65% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 41% | 60% | 33% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 40% | 33% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 24% | 40% | 22% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 100% | 78% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 80% | 78% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 71% | 80% | 78% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 59% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 40% | 33% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 24% | 20% | 33% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 82% | 80% | 78% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 76% | 80% | 78% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 60% | 56% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 40% | 44% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
49%
Air-yards share
62%
Rec EPA/game
10.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
80.2
9 g
Away
68.6
8 g
In wins
64.9
8 g
In losses
83.6
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs PIT | L 10-18 | +4 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 13% |
| 2 | @ PHI | W 22-21 | -5.5 | 46.5 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 1 | 52 | 6 | 24% |
| 3 | vs KC | L 17-22 | -3 | 46 | 9 | 6 | 67 | 1 | 81 | 30 | 33% |
| 4 | vs NO | W 26-24 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 12 | 6 | 64 | 0 | 164 | 11 | 35% |
| 5 | vs TB | W 36-30 | +2.5 | 44 | 13 | 12 | 154 | 1 | 118 | 50 | 24% |
| 6 | @ CAR | W 38-20 | +6 | 45.5 | 10 | 6 | 74 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 34% |
| 7 | vs SEA | L 14-34 | +3 | 51.5 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 1 | 97 | 10 | 22% |
| 8 | @ TB | W 31-26 | +1.5 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 45 | 16 | 21% |
| 9 | vs DAL | W 27-21 | +3 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 24 | 3 | 8% |
| 10 | @ NO | L 17-20 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 13 | 8 | 97 | 0 | 148 | 19 | 35% |
| 11 | @ DEN | L 6-38 | -2 | 44.5 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 0 | 89 | 10 | 24% |
| 13 | vs LAC | L 13-17 | -1 | 47 | 16 | 9 | 86 | 0 | 188 | 33 | 42% |
| 14 | @ MIN | L 21-42 | -6 | 46.5 | 10 | 5 | 70 | 0 | 65 | 19 | 27% |
| 15 | @ LV | W 15-9 | +6.5 | 44.5 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 19% |
| 16 | vs NYG | W 34-7 | +9.5 | 42.5 | 8 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 55 | 25 | 31% |
| 17 | @ WAS | L 24-30 | -3.5 | 46.5 | 13 | 7 | 106 | 0 | 181 | 24 | 37% |
| 18 | vs CAR | L 38-44 | +7.5 | 48.5 | 18 | 10 | 187 | 2 | 258 | 37 | 49% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).