At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
42.1
▼ L5 36.6
Rec/g
4.1
▼ L5 4.0
Tgt/g
6.1
▲ L5 6.2
Rec TD/g
0.13
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 50% | 40% | 71% | 33% |
| 49.5 | 31% | 20% | 43% | 22% |
| 59.5 | 25% | 20% | 43% | 11% |
| 69.5 | 19% | 20% | 29% | 11% |
| 79.5 | 13% | 0% | 14% | 11% |
| 89.5 | 13% | 0% | 14% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 63% | 80% | 71% | 56% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 80% | 57% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 40% | 57% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 31% | 20% | 43% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 20% | 29% | 22% |
| 7.5 | 13% | 0% | 14% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 56% | 60% | 71% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 44% | 60% | 43% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 25% | 20% | 43% | 11% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
9%
Air-yards share
11%
Rec EPA/game
-2.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
52.1
7 g
Away
34.3
9 g
In wins
25.7
3 g
In losses
45.9
13 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CIN | W 16-10 | -8 | 40.5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 13% |
| 2 | vs SEA | L 20-23 | -3.5 | 39 | 12 | 8 | 109 | 0 | 68 | 64 | 50% |
| 3 | @ NYJ | L 3-24 | -6.5 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 13% |
| 4 | @ SF | L 13-30 | -10.5 | 41.5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 9% |
| 5 | vs MIA | L 10-15 | -2 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 50 | 3 | 13% |
| 6 | vs HOU | L 21-41 | -6.5 | 38.5 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 1 | 28 | 27 | 16% |
| 7 | @ JAX | L 16-32 | -6.5 | 42 | 9 | 8 | 92 | 0 | 103 | 31 | 25% |
| 8 | vs NYJ | W 25-22 | -7 | 41 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 40 | 9 | 21% |
| 9 | @ TEN | L 17-20 | -3 | 38.5 | 8 | 7 | 56 | 0 | 50 | 31 | 21% |
| 10 | @ CHI | W 19-3 | -6.5 | 37.5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 10 | 17% |
| 11 | vs LA | L 22-28 | -4 | 42.5 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 59 | 16 | 24% |
| 12 | @ MIA | L 15-34 | -7.5 | 46 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 76 | 16 | 22% |
| 13 | vs IND | L 24-25 | -2.5 | 41.5 | 9 | 7 | 75 | 0 | 69 | 29 | 30% |
| 15 | @ ARI | L 17-30 | -6 | 46.5 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 17% |
| 16 | @ BUF | L 21-24 | -14 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 50 | 12 | 26% |
| 17 | vs LAC | L 7-40 | -6 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 9% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).