At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
66.5
▼ L5 60.2
Rec/g
5.9
▲ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
8.1
▼ L5 8.0
Rec TD/g
0.35
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 65% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| 49.5 | 65% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 60% | 56% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 60% | 44% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 35% | 60% | 33% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 100% | 89% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 80% | 78% | 75% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 47% | 40% | 56% | 38% |
| 6.5 | 35% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 29% | 40% | 22% | 38% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 82% | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 40% | 78% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 40% | 44% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
19%
Air-yards share
-4%
Rec EPA/game
1.9
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
71.8
9 g
Away
60.5
8 g
In wins
56.8
10 g
In losses
80.3
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs DEN | W 26-20 | +6.5 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8% |
| 2 | @ NE | W 23-20 | +3.5 | 39 | 16 | 12 | 117 | 0 | 172 | 41 | 37% |
| 3 | vs MIA | W 24-3 | +4 | 41.5 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 9% |
| 4 | @ DET | L 29-42 | -3.5 | 46.5 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 76 | 21 | 23% |
| 5 | vs NYG | L 20-29 | +7 | 42.5 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 18% |
| 6 | vs SF | L 24-36 | -3.5 | 49 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 0 | 86 | 21 | 19% |
| 7 | @ ATL | W 34-14 | -3 | 51.5 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 57 | 13 | 21% |
| 8 | vs BUF | L 10-31 | -3 | 45.5 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 49 | 36 | 26% |
| 9 | vs LA | L 20-26 | -1.5 | 48.5 | 13 | 7 | 180 | 2 | 227 | 49 | 38% |
| 11 | @ SF | W 20-17 | -6 | 49 | 11 | 10 | 110 | 0 | 103 | 28 | 35% |
| 12 | vs ARI | W 16-6 | -1 | 46.5 | 7 | 6 | 77 | 1 | 13 | 66 | 25% |
| 13 | @ NYJ | W 26-21 | -1 | 41.5 | 4 | 4 | 74 | 0 | 61 | 13 | 14% |
| 14 | @ ARI | W 30-18 | -3 | 45.5 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 1 | 53 | 29 | 17% |
| 15 | vs GB | L 13-30 | -3 | 48 | 12 | 10 | 83 | 0 | 59 | 39 | 39% |
| 16 | vs MIN | L 24-27 | -2.5 | 43 | 12 | 8 | 95 | 1 | 156 | 28 | 29% |
| 17 | @ CHI | W 6-3 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 51 | 18 | 27% |
| 18 | @ LA | W 30-25 | +7.5 | 38.5 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | -8 | 12 | 19% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).