At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
52.0
▼ L5 47.2
Rec/g
5.2
▲ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
6.5
▲ L5 7.4
Rec TD/g
0.47
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 71% | 80% | 63% | 78% |
| 49.5 | 47% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| 59.5 | 35% | 20% | 38% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 24% | 0% | 25% | 22% |
| 79.5 | 24% | 0% | 25% | 22% |
| 89.5 | 18% | 0% | 13% | 22% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 100% | 75% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 60% | 63% | 67% |
| 4.5 | 59% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 47% | 60% | 50% | 44% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 40% | 13% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 24% | 40% | 13% | 33% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 65% | 60% | 63% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 40% | 38% | 56% |
| 8.5 | 24% | 40% | 13% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 40% | 13% | 33% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
32%
Air-yards share
22%
Rec EPA/game
-3.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
46.8
8 g
Away
56.7
9 g
In wins
54.3
8 g
In losses
50.0
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs JAX | W 20-17 | +3.5 | 49.5 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6% |
| 2 | vs BUF | L 10-31 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 39 | 36 | 19% |
| 3 | @ SEA | L 3-24 | -4 | 41.5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 10% |
| 4 | vs TEN | L 12-31 | +2.5 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 0 | 5% |
| 5 | @ NE | W 15-10 | +2 | 37 | 8 | 5 | 62 | 0 | 70 | 29 | 26% |
| 7 | @ IND | L 10-16 | -3 | 44 | 7 | 7 | 96 | 1 | 46 | 50 | 32% |
| 8 | vs ARI | L 27-28 | +4 | 46.5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 43 | 4 | 16% |
| 9 | @ BUF | L 27-30 | -6.5 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 34 | 32 | 22% |
| 10 | @ LA | W 23-15 | -2.5 | 49.5 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 16 | 36 | 14% |
| 11 | vs LV | W 34-19 | +8 | 43.5 | 8 | 6 | 101 | 2 | 43 | 59 | 23% |
| 12 | vs NE | W 34-15 | +7.5 | 46 | 11 | 9 | 87 | 1 | 36 | 58 | 28% |
| 13 | @ GB | L 17-30 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 11 | 10 | 113 | 0 | 75 | 38 | 24% |
| 14 | vs NYJ | W 32-26 | +6.5 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 9% |
| 15 | @ HOU | L 12-20 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 11 | 9 | 48 | 1 | 39 | 25 | 28% |
| 16 | vs SF | W 29-17 | -2 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 0 | 17 | 45 | 19% |
| 17 | @ CLE | W 20-3 | +3 | 32.5 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 17% |
| 18 | @ NYJ | L 20-32 | -1.5 | 39.5 | 12 | 9 | 56 | 1 | 60 | 30 | 32% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).