At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
36.1
▼ L5 32.0
Rec/g
2.0
▼ L5 1.6
Tgt/g
4.1
▲ L5 4.6
Rec TD/g
0.25
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 38% | 20% | 25% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 31% | 20% | 25% | 38% |
| 59.5 | 19% | 20% | 13% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 38% | 20% | 38% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 5.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 38% | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| 6.5 | 25% | 40% | 25% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
32%
Air-yards share
81%
Rec EPA/game
-3.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
34.4
8 g
Away
37.9
8 g
In wins
36.3
12 g
In losses
35.8
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs DEN | W 31-7 | +7.5 | 48.5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12% |
| 20* | vs BAL | W 27-25 | -1.5 | 51.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5% |
| 21* | @ KC | L 29-32 | -1.5 | 49.5 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 70 | 1 | 13% |
| 1 | vs ARI | W 34-28 | +6.5 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 0 | 46 | 11 | 22% |
| 2 | @ MIA | W 31-10 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 6% |
| 3 | vs JAX | W 47-10 | +4 | 46.5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 3% |
| 4 | @ BAL | L 10-35 | -2.5 | 46.5 | 4 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 80 | 5 | 15% |
| 5 | @ HOU | L 20-23 | -1 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 49 | 1 | 70 | 41 | 17% |
| 6 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +1 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 37 | 19 | 17% |
| 7 | vs TEN | W 34-10 | +9.5 | 41 | 7 | 4 | 125 | 0 | 97 | 79 | 22% |
| 8 | @ SEA | W 31-10 | +3 | 45.5 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 1 | 81 | 20 | 22% |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 30-27 | +6.5 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 18 | 11 | 6% |
| 15 | @ DET | W 48-42 | -2.5 | 55.5 | 2 | 1 | 64 | 0 | 79 | 14 | 6% |
| 16 | vs NE | W 24-21 | +14 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 59 | 2 | 7% |
| 17 | vs NYJ | W 40-14 | +10 | 44.5 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 69 | 5 | 26% |
| 18 | @ NE | L 16-23 | +3 | 36.5 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 188 | 3 | 32% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).