At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
79.2
▲ L5 90.2
Rec/g
5.4
▲ L5 6.6
Tgt/g
7.4
▲ L5 8.6
Rec TD/g
0.47
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| 49.5 | 71% | 100% | 88% | 56% |
| 59.5 | 59% | 80% | 63% | 56% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 80% | 50% | 44% |
| 79.5 | 47% | 80% | 50% | 44% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| 3.5 | 82% | 100% | 88% | 78% |
| 4.5 | 76% | 100% | 88% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 60% | 50% | 33% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 40% | 0% | 33% |
| 7.5 | 18% | 40% | 0% | 33% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 89% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 80% | 50% | 78% |
| 8.5 | 24% | 40% | 13% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 22% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
23%
Air-yards share
26%
Rec EPA/game
4.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
77.5
8 g
Away
80.7
9 g
In wins
77.4
11 g
In losses
82.5
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ HOU | L 12-32 | +3 | 41.5 | 14 | 9 | 197 | 1 | 210 | 79 | 44% |
| 1 | vs LV | W 22-10 | +3 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 28% |
| 2 | @ CAR | W 26-3 | +5 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 52 | 14 | 21% |
| 3 | @ PIT | L 10-20 | -3 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 70 | 8 | 32% |
| 4 | vs KC | L 10-17 | -7.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 5 | 67 | 1 | 45 | 51 | 26% |
| 6 | @ DEN | W 23-16 | +3 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 97 | 14 | 26% |
| 7 | @ ARI | L 15-17 | +1 | 44 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 35 | 21 | 19% |
| 8 | vs NO | W 26-8 | +7 | 41.5 | 6 | 6 | 111 | 2 | 73 | 38 | 20% |
| 9 | @ CLE | W 27-10 | +2 | 42.5 | 7 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 85 | 11 | 27% |
| 10 | vs TEN | W 27-17 | +8 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 0 | 28 | 24 | 11% |
| 11 | vs CIN | W 34-27 | +1 | 48 | 9 | 6 | 123 | 0 | 135 | 15 | 27% |
| 12 | vs BAL | L 23-30 | -3 | 51 | 6 | 6 | 83 | 0 | 67 | 16 | 17% |
| 13 | @ ATL | W 17-13 | +1 | 47 | 12 | 9 | 117 | 0 | 115 | 37 | 50% |
| 15 | vs TB | L 17-40 | +3 | 46 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 1 | 56 | 13 | 22% |
| 16 | vs DEN | W 34-27 | +3 | 41.5 | 6 | 6 | 87 | 0 | 36 | 51 | 20% |
| 17 | @ NE | W 40-7 | +6 | 42 | 10 | 8 | 94 | 2 | 113 | 21 | 25% |
| 18 | @ LV | W 34-20 | +7 | 42.5 | 8 | 5 | 95 | 0 | 70 | 43 | 23% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).