At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
52.1
▲ L5 55.8
Rec/g
3.6
▲ L5 4.2
Tgt/g
6.8
▲ L5 7.6
Rec TD/g
0.47
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 59% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 41% | 40% | 44% | 38% |
| 59.5 | 35% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| 69.5 | 18% | 20% | 11% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 18% | 20% | 11% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 18% | 20% | 11% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 71% | 80% | 78% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 80% | 67% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 40% | 44% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 100% | 100% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 60% | 33% | 63% |
| 8.5 | 18% | 20% | 11% | 25% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
19%
Air-yards share
31%
Rec EPA/game
5.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
54.7
9 g
Away
49.1
8 g
In wins
60.1
8 g
In losses
44.9
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ BUF | L 28-34 | -6.5 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10% |
| 2 | vs LA | W 41-10 | -1 | 47.5 | 8 | 4 | 130 | 2 | 150 | 29 | 38% |
| 3 | vs DET | L 13-20 | -3 | 51.5 | 11 | 5 | 64 | 1 | 179 | 2 | 32% |
| 4 | vs WAS | L 14-42 | +3.5 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 42 | 6 | 27% |
| 5 | @ SF | W 24-23 | -7 | 48.5 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 95 | 3 | 23% |
| 6 | @ GB | L 13-34 | -5.5 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 6% |
| 7 | vs LAC | W 17-15 | -1 | 44 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 24% |
| 8 | @ MIA | W 28-27 | -4 | 46.5 | 7 | 6 | 111 | 1 | 136 | 8 | 21% |
| 9 | vs CHI | W 29-9 | +1.5 | 44.5 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 91 | 3 | 26% |
| 10 | vs NYJ | W 31-6 | -2 | 45.5 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 21% |
| 12 | @ SEA | L 6-16 | +1 | 46.5 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 18% |
| 13 | @ MIN | L 22-23 | -3.5 | 45.5 | 12 | 5 | 60 | 1 | 178 | 4 | 28% |
| 14 | vs SEA | L 18-30 | +3 | 45.5 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 83 | 8 | 21% |
| 15 | vs NE | W 30-17 | +6 | 46.5 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 88 | 22 | 19% |
| 16 | @ CAR | L 30-36 | +5.5 | 47 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 0 | 85 | 4 | 28% |
| 17 | @ LA | L 9-13 | -6.5 | 48 | 10 | 6 | 96 | 0 | 156 | 13 | 22% |
| 18 | vs SF | W 47-24 | +4.5 | 42.5 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 1 | 70 | 8 | 19% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).