At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
43.2
▼ L5 38.2
Rec/g
3.2
▼ L5 2.6
Tgt/g
5.9
▼ L5 5.0
Rec TD/g
0.18
▲ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 47% | 40% | 44% | 50% |
| 49.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
| 59.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
| 69.5 | 18% | 20% | 11% | 25% |
| 79.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 53% | 40% | 56% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 41% | 40% | 44% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 0% | 33% | 25% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
| 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 71% | 60% | 56% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 35% | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 18% | 0% | 22% | 13% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
8%
Air-yards share
22%
Rec EPA/game
0.5
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
35.6
9 g
Away
51.8
8 g
In wins
23.8
5 g
In losses
51.3
12 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs TEN | W 24-17 | +4 | 43 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 14% |
| 2 | @ HOU | L 13-19 | -6 | 45.5 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 63 | 15 | 15% |
| 3 | @ IND | L 16-21 | -1.5 | 43 | 11 | 6 | 112 | 1 | 245 | 22 | 23% |
| 4 | vs LA | W 24-18 | +3 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 43 | 6 | 14% |
| 5 | vs CAR | W 36-10 | +4 | 40 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 26 | 28 | 21% |
| 6 | vs JAX | W 35-16 | -1.5 | 44.5 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 28 | 12 | 8% |
| 8 | @ WAS | L 15-18 | -1.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 126 | 16 | 29% |
| 9 | @ ARI | L 9-29 | -1.5 | 44.5 | 7 | 5 | 104 | 0 | 108 | 26 | 19% |
| 10 | vs NE | L 3-19 | +6.5 | 37.5 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 67 | 11 | 23% |
| 11 | vs GB | L 19-20 | -6 | 41 | 10 | 6 | 65 | 0 | 113 | 19 | 32% |
| 12 | vs MIN | L 27-30 | -3 | 39.5 | 10 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 110 | 24 | 21% |
| 13 | @ DET | L 20-23 | -9.5 | 47.5 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 128 | 2 | 17% |
| 14 | @ SF | L 13-38 | -3 | 43.5 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 2 | 62 | 10 | 21% |
| 15 | @ MIN | L 12-30 | -7 | 43.5 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 69 | 27 | 23% |
| 16 | vs DET | L 17-34 | -7 | 47.5 | 7 | 4 | 77 | 0 | 96 | 29 | 19% |
| 17 | vs SEA | L 3-6 | -3.5 | 43.5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 78 | 0 | 15% |
| 18 | @ GB | W 24-22 | -10 | 41.5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 8% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).