At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
40.5
▼ L5 37.6
Rec/g
4.2
▼ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
5.8
▼ L5 4.4
Rec TD/g
0.40
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 40% | 40% | 44% | 36% |
| 49.5 | 25% | 20% | 33% | 18% |
| 59.5 | 25% | 20% | 33% | 18% |
| 69.5 | 15% | 20% | 22% | 9% |
| 79.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 89.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 75% | 60% | 78% | 73% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | 67% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 45% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 20% | 33% | 18% |
| 6.5 | 10% | 0% | 11% | 9% |
| 7.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 65% | 60% | 78% | 55% |
| 6.5 | 35% | 20% | 56% | 18% |
| 8.5 | 10% | 0% | 11% | 9% |
| 10.5 | 10% | 0% | 11% | 9% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
17%
Air-yards share
10%
Rec EPA/game
2.8
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
41.9
9 g
Away
39.3
11 g
In wins
35.2
14 g
In losses
52.7
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ TB | W 23-20 | -3 | 51.5 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 13% |
| 20* | @ DET | W 45-31 | -8.5 | 55.5 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 17% |
| 21* | @ PHI | L 23-55 | -6 | 46.5 | 16 | 11 | 104 | 0 | 119 | 30 | 34% |
| 1 | @ TB | L 20-37 | -4 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 17% |
| 2 | vs NYG | W 21-18 | +1.5 | 42.5 | 4 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 51 | 11 | 14% |
| 3 | @ CIN | W 38-33 | -7.5 | 46 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 0 | 33 | 5 | 22% |
| 4 | @ ARI | W 42-14 | -3.5 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 10% |
| 5 | vs CLE | W 34-13 | +3 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 70 | 1 | 30% |
| 6 | @ BAL | L 23-30 | -6.5 | 51.5 | 5 | 4 | 68 | 0 | 46 | 19 | 15% |
| 7 | vs CAR | W 40-7 | +10 | 51 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 41 | 12 | 20% |
| 8 | vs CHI | W 18-15 | +1.5 | 46.5 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 113 | 14 | 32% |
| 9 | @ NYG | W 27-22 | +4.5 | 44.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5% |
| 10 | vs PIT | L 27-28 | +1.5 | 45 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 25% |
| 11 | @ PHI | L 18-26 | -4.5 | 49.5 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 1 | 35 | 15 | 22% |
| 12 | vs DAL | L 26-34 | +10.5 | 45 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 1 | 74 | 5 | 24% |
| 13 | vs TEN | W 42-19 | +6 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 20% |
| 15 | @ NO | W 20-19 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 6% |
| 16 | vs PHI | W 36-33 | -4 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 6% |
| 17 | vs ATL | W 30-24 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 7 | 6 | 72 | 2 | 48 | 38 | 20% |
| 18 | @ DAL | W 23-19 | +7 | 43.5 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 1 | 32 | 12 | 17% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).