№ 01Myers is batting .308 against right-handed sinkers over 16 plate appearances this year with just a 4% whiff rate on the pitch
№ 02Hancock leans on fastballs 73.6% of the time, and Myers owns a .348 xwOBA against fastballs across 84 plate appearances
№ 03Hancock's 4.34 xERA across 99.3 innings suggests his run prevention has outrun his underlying contact quality
№ 04Season-long, Myers is hitting .271 off right-handers and carrying a 0.72 OPS across 70 plate appearances versus righties
№ 05Risk: Hancock has held righties to a .200 average across 165 matchups and runs a 3.53 FIP with recent form trending up
§ 01The analysis
The pitch-level read is the anchor here. Dane Myers is hitting .308 against right-handed sinkers on the year, and across 16 plate appearances he has whiffed on just 4% of them, so the pitch profile Emerson Hancock lives on is one Myers handles cleanly. Hancock throws fastballs 73.6% of the time, and Myers has produced a .348 xwOBA against fastballs across 84 plate appearances this season. The macro number backs it up: Hancock's 4.34 xERA across 99.3 innings sits well above his run prevention, meaning the underlying contact quality he has allowed hasn't matched the surface results, and that gap tends to close. Zoom out on Myers and the shape holds. He is hitting .260 on the season across 127 at-bats with a 0.75 OPS.271 and a 0.72 OPS in 70 plate appearances against right-handers, and 6 hits in 24 at-bats across his last 10 games. First pitch is in daylight at T-Mobile Park, and Myers just needs to find one knock at -132.
§ 02The call
The honest counter is that Hancock has been sharpening. Over his last 5 starts he has posted a 3.44 FIP across 23.7 innings, his season FIP is 3.53, and he has held right-handed batters to a .200 average across 165 matchups. T-Mobile Park's 0.83 run environment doesn't help the offense either, and Myers's team has dropped 4 of the last 5 meetings with this opponent. The bet leans on Myers's pitch-type edge and Hancock's xERA gap being the truer signal, but the recent form and park are real.
Final resultWINDane Myers OVER 0.5 Hits · -132 Graded Jul 22, 2026