MLB · NL East

Austin Riley

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Atlanta Braves3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Austin Riley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    50%47%51%
  • Over 1.5
    20%17%22%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%10%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%3%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%33%34%
  • Over 2.5
    20%20%19%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%3%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.214↑

OBP

.296

SLG

.347

OPS

.643

HR

8

K%

29%

Last 10: 9-for-36 (.250) · 0 HR · 13 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 321 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.374
59
Avg Exit V
91.0 mph
85
Barrel %
10.3%
71
Hard-Hit %
55.7%
85
Chase %
32.2%
36
Whiff %
29.7%
14
K %
29.0%
17
BB %
8.7%
51

Where he hits it

25%LF23%LCF15%CF12%RCF14%RF← Pull

46%

Pull

24%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 25% of BIP · 96.6 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.658OPS115 PA
vs RHP.635OPS206 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter5.200.200.09030.0%60.0%50.0%0.0%96.0 mph33.5°
Curveball9.125.125.15638.1%44.4%25.0%0.0%90.8 mph22.0°
Sinker11.364.455.31911.5%9.1%30.0%10.0%88.8 mph-13.8°
Slider14.167.333.43835.7%21.4%72.7%27.3%94.4 mph23.2°
Changeup31.179.250.21149.1%35.5%38.9%5.6%86.2 mph8.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.314
xSLG
.571
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
111.9
EV90
106.2
Launch angle
19.1°
Sweet-spot%
31.4%
Avg distance
314 ft
EV on barrels
105.0
EV on hard-hit
102.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.4%
O-Contact%
49.8%
Z-Contact%
83.0%
Contact%
70.3%
SwStr%
13.9%
CSW%
29.4%
In-zone%
44.3%
1st-pitch swing%
27.6%
2-strike K%
50.0%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.368
7d K%
34.8%
7d Barrel%
8.3%
7d Whiff%
37.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.380
14d K%
31.8%
14d Barrel%
12.5%
30d xwOBA(con)
.319
30d K%
30.6%
30d Barrel%
11.1%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.420
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.383
Behind xwOBA(con)
.380
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.372
Ahead Whiff%
27.9%
2-strike Whiff%
28.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.287
RISP
.321
Loaded
.257
High leverage
.291
Clutch
.280
Innings 1-3
.361
Innings 4-6
.398
Innings 7+
.360

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets · Jun 13, 2026 · -148

LOSS

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