MLB · AL East

Brandon Valenzuela

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysCBats: S · Throws: R
FormHotPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Brandon Valenzuela has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    70%63%53%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    20%13%12%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%13%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%30%24%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    30%20%18%
  • Over 3.5
    20%17%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.247↑

OBP

.327

SLG

.431

OPS

.759

HR

7

K%

24%

Last 10: 10-for-33 (.303) · 1 HR · 11 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 165 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.404
75
Avg Exit V
87.7 mph
39
Barrel %
8.5%
59
Hard-Hit %
47.2%
54
Chase %
29.3%
53
Whiff %
23.8%
43
K %
24.2%
35
BB %
10.9%
76

Where he hits it

8%LF19%LCF13%CF22%RCF26%RF

51%

Pull

26%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 96.7 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.781OPS45 PA
vs RHP.751OPS120 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter13.273.273.4213.7%0.0%27.3%0.0%78.2 mph5.8°
Curveball15.308.462.29837.5%33.3%25.0%0.0%84.6 mph11.4°
Slider18.222.889.34335.6%44.4%50.8%41.3%94.2 mph20.2°
Sinker21.431.553.35720.7%19.0%49.0%0.0%92.6 mph10.9°
Changeup30.248.467.35736.5%23.3%27.0%14.0%84.3 mph9.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.355
xSLG
.593
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
111.4
EV90
104.3
Launch angle
15.9°
Sweet-spot%
42.4%
Avg distance
337 ft
EV on barrels
104.5
EV on hard-hit
100.9
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
71.5%
O-Contact%
50.5%
Z-Contact%
87.5%
Contact%
76.2%
SwStr%
11.8%
CSW%
25.9%
In-zone%
48.4%
1st-pitch swing%
36.4%
2-strike K%
43.0%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.328
7d K%
45.5%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
26.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.380
14d K%
42.1%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.414
30d K%
25.0%
30d Barrel%
10.5%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.465
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.348
Behind xwOBA(con)
.390
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.371
Ahead Whiff%
18.0%
2-strike Whiff%
22.6%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.327
RISP
.353
Loaded
.000
High leverage
.332
Clutch
.385
Innings 1-3
.417
Innings 4-6
.376
Innings 7+
.419

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.