MLB · AL East

Brandon Valenzuela

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysCBats: S · Throws: R
FormHotPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Brandon Valenzuela has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%63%54%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    20%13%12%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%13%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%30%24%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    40%20%18%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    30%17%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.257

OBP

.335

SLG

.450

OPS

.785

HR

7

K%

23%

Last 10: 12-for-34 (.353) · 3 HR · 9 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 158 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.411
79
Avg Exit V
87.9 mph
42
Barrel %
8.7%
60
Hard-Hit %
47.6%
54
Chase %
29.7%
51
Whiff %
23.7%
42
K %
23.4%
41
BB %
10.8%
74

Where he hits it

8%LF19%LCF13%CF22%RCF26%RF

52%

Pull

26%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 96.7 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.800OPS44 PA
vs RHP.780OPS114 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter11.300.300.4044.0%0.0%30.0%0.0%77.2 mph4.3°
Slider18.222.889.34338.6%44.4%50.8%41.3%94.2 mph20.2°
Changeup29.258.484.36937.8%24.1%28.3%14.7%85.2 mph5.1°
Four-seam56.218.317.33618.0%21.4%38.6%4.6%90.0 mph21.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.360
xSLG
.605
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
111.4
EV90
104.3
Launch angle
15.4°
Sweet-spot%
42.7%
Avg distance
333 ft
EV on barrels
104.5
EV on hard-hit
101.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
71.8%
O-Contact%
50.0%
Z-Contact%
87.8%
Contact%
76.3%
SwStr%
11.9%
CSW%
26.0%
In-zone%
48.8%
1st-pitch swing%
35.4%
2-strike K%
42.5%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.416
7d K%
37.5%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
10.5%
14d xwOBA(con)
.425
14d K%
30.8%
14d Barrel%
6.3%
30d xwOBA(con)
.413
30d K%
20.3%
30d Barrel%
8.9%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.487
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.356
Behind xwOBA(con)
.390
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.379
Ahead Whiff%
17.9%
2-strike Whiff%
22.1%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.334
RISP
.353
Loaded
.000
High leverage
.346
Clutch
.423
Innings 1-3
.417
Innings 4-6
.378
Innings 7+
.436

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.