MLB · NL East

Bryce Harper

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Philadelphia Phillies1BBats: L · Throws: R
FormHotPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Bryce Harper has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%50%58%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%27%24%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%10%10%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    30%20%21%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%33%40%
  • Over 2.5
    30%27%31%
  • Over 3.5
    30%20%25%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.267

OBP

.367

SLG

.519

OPS

.886

HR

18

K%

19%

Last 10: 13-for-37 (.351) · 3 HR · 8 K · 6 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 338 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.461
95
Avg Exit V
90.2 mph
75
Barrel %
12.5%
84
Hard-Hit %
54.0%
79
Chase %
33.8%
28
Whiff %
27.8%
22
K %
18.9%
68
BB %
14.2%
96

Where he hits it

11%LF13%LCF21%CF20%RCF27%RFPull →

48%

Pull

30%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 22% of BIP · 98.6 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.653OPS134 PA
vs RHP1.038OPS204 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

4 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Changeup10.000.000.32441.2%40.0%40.0%20.0%91.8 mph-1.6°
Curveball14.308.385.22725.9%28.6%11.1%0.0%80.8 mph-3.2°
Sinker23.333.429.31511.1%0.0%39.1%0.0%87.8 mph3.1°
Four-seam34.111.222.30930.6%41.2%57.1%7.1%91.3 mph21.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.375
xSLG
.713
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.5
EV90
106.9
Launch angle
11.5°
Sweet-spot%
40.2%
Avg distance
318 ft
EV on barrels
105.4
EV on hard-hit
102.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
74.4%
O-Contact%
52.1%
Z-Contact%
85.0%
Contact%
72.3%
SwStr%
14.0%
CSW%
23.9%
In-zone%
41.5%
1st-pitch swing%
47.6%
2-strike K%
37.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.546
7d K%
18.5%
7d Barrel%
10.0%
7d Whiff%
25.0%
14d xwOBA(con)
.435
14d K%
21.4%
14d Barrel%
8.1%
30d xwOBA(con)
.432
30d K%
21.1%
30d Barrel%
7.5%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.385
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.646
Behind xwOBA(con)
.421
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.417
Ahead Whiff%
24.2%
2-strike Whiff%
21.6%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.419
RISP
.378
Loaded
.537
High leverage
.377
Clutch
.431
Innings 1-3
.427
Innings 4-6
.444
Innings 7+
.526

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.