MLB · AL East

Caleb Durbin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Caleb Durbin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    60%57%49%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%27%18%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    20%10%6%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%40%30%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    40%30%18%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    20%10%6%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.222

OBP

.278

SLG

.376

OPS

.654

HR

6

K%

14%

Last 10: 13-for-34 (.382) · 3 HR · 5 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 255 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.291
8
Avg Exit V
83.8 mph
9
Barrel %
3.0%
11
Hard-Hit %
33.0%
11
Chase %
27.6%
62
Whiff %
14.3%
91
K %
14.1%
89
BB %
5.9%
18

Where he hits it

27%LF25%LCF15%CF19%RCF8%RF← Pull

47%

Pull

31%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 42% of BIP · 91.9 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.618OPS62 PA
vs RHP.666OPS193 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball2.000.000.00450.0%50.0%0.0%0.0%64.2 mph56.0°
Cutter7.286.429.26211.4%14.3%34.3%0.0%77.6 mph-2.0°
Changeup8.275.550.35725.0%12.5%37.5%12.5%87.7 mph1.9°
Four-seam21.400.971.3416.9%23.8%48.8%6.0%87.5 mph3.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.282
xSLG
.388
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.7
EV90
100.2
Launch angle
9.4°
Sweet-spot%
26.5%
Avg distance
222 ft
EV on barrels
102.6
EV on hard-hit
99.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
63.7%
O-Contact%
70.3%
Z-Contact%
92.0%
Contact%
85.7%
SwStr%
6.6%
CSW%
25.3%
In-zone%
51.6%
1st-pitch swing%
31.8%
2-strike K%
30.8%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.305
7d K%
15.4%
7d Barrel%
5.0%
7d Whiff%
20.8%
14d xwOBA(con)
.271
14d K%
13.3%
14d Barrel%
2.8%
30d xwOBA(con)
.340
30d K%
12.1%
30d Barrel%
5.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.268
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.376
Behind xwOBA(con)
.266
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.278
Ahead Whiff%
11.5%
2-strike Whiff%
12.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.254
RISP
.424
Loaded
.300
High leverage
.303
Clutch
.258
Innings 1-3
.290
Innings 4-6
.288
Innings 7+
.295

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.