MLB · AL East

Caleb Durbin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Caleb Durbin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    60%57%49%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%27%18%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    20%10%6%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%40%30%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    40%30%18%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    20%10%6%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.216

OBP

.271

SLG

.359

OPS

.630

HR

5

K%

14%

Last 10: 11-for-35 (.314) · 2 HR · 5 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 251 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.294
9
Avg Exit V
84.0 mph
9
Barrel %
3.0%
12
Hard-Hit %
33.3%
11
Chase %
27.6%
62
Whiff %
14.4%
91
K %
13.9%
89
BB %
5.6%
16

Where he hits it

27%LF25%LCF15%CF18%RCF8%RF← Pull

47%

Pull

31%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 41% of BIP · 91.9 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.618OPS62 PA
vs RHP.634OPS189 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

5 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Sinker61.203.254.3053.3%4.9%33.3%0.0%85.1 mph1.0°
Four-seam48.256.605.3008.5%18.8%38.5%7.7%85.7 mph17.5°
Slider47.182.204.20430.2%21.3%13.2%0.0%80.9 mph16.5°
Cutter13.273.455.3108.7%7.7%27.3%0.0%80.7 mph0.1°
Curveball6.000.000.05614.3%16.7%0.0%0.0%76.7 mph21.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.284
xSLG
.392
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.7
EV90
100.2
Launch angle
9.0°
Sweet-spot%
26.8%
Avg distance
219 ft
EV on barrels
102.6
EV on hard-hit
99.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
63.3%
O-Contact%
70.3%
Z-Contact%
91.8%
Contact%
85.6%
SwStr%
6.6%
CSW%
25.6%
In-zone%
51.9%
1st-pitch swing%
31.9%
2-strike K%
30.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.328
7d K%
12.0%
7d Barrel%
4.8%
7d Whiff%
24.5%
14d xwOBA(con)
.285
14d K%
12.2%
14d Barrel%
2.9%
30d xwOBA(con)
.348
30d K%
11.5%
30d Barrel%
5.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.268
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.388
Behind xwOBA(con)
.266
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.281
Ahead Whiff%
12.0%
2-strike Whiff%
12.1%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.246
RISP
.402
Loaded
.300
High leverage
.303
Clutch
.258
Innings 1-3
.295
Innings 4-6
.291
Innings 7+
.295

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.