MLB · AL Central

Carter Jensen

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Kansas City RoyalsCBats: L · Throws: R
FormHotPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Carter Jensen has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    100%70%59%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%17%21%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    10%3%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%13%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%40%36%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    40%20%22%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    40%20%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.243↑

OBP

.308

SLG

.432

OPS

.740

HR

10

K%

27%

Last 10: 16-for-41 (.390) · 2 HR · 5 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 273 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.355
46
Avg Exit V
90.9 mph
84
Barrel %
8.7%
59
Hard-Hit %
46.8%
51
Chase %
26.3%
70
Whiff %
26.8%
26
K %
27.1%
22
BB %
8.8%
53

Where he hits it

12%LF15%LCF19%CF14%RCF25%RFPull →

46%

Pull

24%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 26% of BIP · 95.9 mph · 33° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.772OPS65 PA
vs RHP.730OPS208 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball3.6672.000.67916.7%33.3%100.0%50.0%104.2 mph20.0°
Changeup12.273.727.31914.3%0.0%50.0%8.3%91.0 mph19.4°
Four-seam27.183.225.19015.4%29.6%28.9%0.0%92.3 mph25.7°
Slider36.197.337.28629.4%25.0%52.0%7.3%93.0 mph17.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.317
xSLG
.524
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.7
EV90
107.2
Launch angle
20.0°
Sweet-spot%
33.5%
Avg distance
308 ft
EV on barrels
104.8
EV on hard-hit
103.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.1%
O-Contact%
48.4%
Z-Contact%
84.3%
Contact%
73.2%
SwStr%
12.0%
CSW%
28.4%
In-zone%
47.4%
1st-pitch swing%
31.1%
2-strike K%
49.7%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.489
7d K%
8.7%
7d Barrel%
5.6%
7d Whiff%
10.3%
14d xwOBA(con)
.424
14d K%
12.2%
14d Barrel%
7.7%
30d xwOBA(con)
.360
30d K%
22.6%
30d Barrel%
8.1%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.457
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.346
Behind xwOBA(con)
.311
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.339
Ahead Whiff%
23.6%
2-strike Whiff%
28.8%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.311
RISP
.297
Loaded
.371
High leverage
.362
Clutch
.263
Innings 1-3
.346
Innings 4-6
.393
Innings 7+
.312

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.