MLB · AL East

Ceddanne Rafaela

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power.

Prop hit rates

How often Ceddanne Rafaela has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    80%77%71%
  • Over 1.5
    30%27%23%
  • Over 2.5
    10%10%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%10%10%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    50%53%43%
  • Over 2.5
    20%23%19%
  • Over 3.5
    10%13%14%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.285

OBP

.333

SLG

.449

OPS

.782

HR

7

K%

20%

Last 10: 12-for-44 (.273) · 0 HR · 9 K · 0 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 294 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.333
31
Avg Exit V
86.2 mph
26
Barrel %
5.6%
31
Hard-Hit %
40.6%
28
Chase %
40.8%
6
Whiff %
23.1%
48
K %
20.4%
59
BB %
4.8%
12

Where he hits it

22%LF22%LCF13%CF17%RCF16%RF← Pull

40%

Pull

24%

Center

36%

Oppo

Pull-air 26% of BIP · 92.8 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.945OPS74 PA
vs RHP.728OPS220 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

3 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Slider22.409.864.28029.5%18.2%38.4%4.8%82.7 mph18.0°
Sinker19.263.316.3008.4%15.8%32.0%0.0%82.7 mph-3.1°
Curveball6.333.333.26011.9%0.0%33.3%0.0%83.5 mph-1.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.314
xSLG
.463
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.6
EV90
101.1
Launch angle
11.2°
Sweet-spot%
38.3%
Avg distance
304 ft
EV on barrels
100.8
EV on hard-hit
99.9
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
67.6%
O-Contact%
64.4%
Z-Contact%
85.2%
Contact%
76.9%
SwStr%
12.4%
CSW%
28.0%
In-zone%
47.4%
1st-pitch swing%
37.4%
2-strike K%
37.0%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.282
7d K%
19.2%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
31.7%
14d xwOBA(con)
.313
14d K%
18.4%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.304
30d K%
18.7%
30d Barrel%
2.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.315
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.348
Behind xwOBA(con)
.326
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.340
Ahead Whiff%
23.3%
2-strike Whiff%
18.0%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.359
RISP
.384
Loaded
.386
High leverage
.361
Clutch
.378
Innings 1-3
.284
Innings 4-6
.369
Innings 7+
.348

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.