MLB · AL West

Luke Raley

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle MarinersOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Luke Raley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    40%37%44%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%17%17%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%13%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%23%30%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    10%20%24%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%17%21%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.234↓

OBP

.293

SLG

.483

OPS

.776

HR

14

K%

32%

Last 10: 4-for-32 (.125) · 1 HR · 10 K · 3 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 222 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.508
98
Avg Exit V
89.4 mph
61
Barrel %
17.4%
98
Hard-Hit %
56.8%
87
Chase %
33.6%
29
Whiff %
39.3%
1
K %
32.4%
6
BB %
5.0%
13

Where he hits it

12%LF16%LCF8%CF20%RCF33%RFPull →

55%

Pull

19%

Center

26%

Oppo

Pull-air 41% of BIP · 101.8 mph · 38° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.333OPS18 PA
vs RHP.817OPS204 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

1 pitch · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Slider7.286.286.41343.8%14.3%42.9%0.0%90.8 mph15.1°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.399
xSLG
.805
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.8
EV90
105.5
Launch angle
15.3°
Sweet-spot%
41.7%
Avg distance
305 ft
EV on barrels
105.6
EV on hard-hit
102.3
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
76.8%
O-Contact%
38.1%
Z-Contact%
72.0%
Contact%
60.7%
SwStr%
21.0%
CSW%
32.3%
In-zone%
46.4%
1st-pitch swing%
39.6%
2-strike K%
56.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.541
7d K%
41.7%
7d Barrel%
33.3%
7d Whiff%
31.3%
14d xwOBA(con)
.431
14d K%
30.4%
14d Barrel%
14.3%
30d xwOBA(con)
.392
30d K%
29.6%
30d Barrel%
11.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.442
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.558
Behind xwOBA(con)
.407
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.520
Ahead Whiff%
33.9%
2-strike Whiff%
37.9%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.308
RISP
.413
Loaded
.500
High leverage
.359
Clutch
.430
Innings 1-3
.481
Innings 4-6
.553
Innings 7+
.472

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jun 24, 2026 · -109

LOSS

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