MLB · AL West

Luke Raley

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle MarinersOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Luke Raley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    40%37%44%
  • Over 1.5
    10%17%17%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%13%19%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%23%30%
  • Over 2.5
    20%20%25%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%17%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.232↓

OBP

.288

SLG

.483

OPS

.770

HR

14

K%

33%

Last 10: 5-for-35 (.143) · 1 HR · 12 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 219 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.504
98
Avg Exit V
89.2 mph
59
Barrel %
16.9%
97
Hard-Hit %
56.1%
86
Chase %
34.1%
26
Whiff %
39.6%
1
K %
32.9%
4
BB %
4.6%
11

Where he hits it

12%LF15%LCF9%CF20%RCF33%RFPull →

55%

Pull

19%

Center

25%

Oppo

Pull-air 42% of BIP · 101.8 mph · 38° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.235OPS17 PA
vs RHP.818OPS202 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Changeup13.154.385.21128.1%30.8%22.2%11.1%83.9 mph10.8°
Slider12.179.464.21067.9%50.0%44.4%0.0%92.0 mph24.6°
Sinker7.143.286.41221.4%28.6%80.0%20.0%99.6 mph9.2°
Cutter3.500.500.3930.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%38.9 mph8.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.395
xSLG
.798
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.8
EV90
105.6
Launch angle
15.2°
Sweet-spot%
40.8%
Avg distance
301 ft
EV on barrels
105.9
EV on hard-hit
102.3
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
77.1%
O-Contact%
38.1%
Z-Contact%
71.7%
Contact%
60.4%
SwStr%
21.3%
CSW%
32.6%
In-zone%
46.4%
1st-pitch swing%
40.2%
2-strike K%
56.7%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.416
7d K%
55.6%
7d Barrel%
25.0%
7d Whiff%
35.7%
14d xwOBA(con)
.312
14d K%
33.3%
14d Barrel%
6.7%
30d xwOBA(con)
.372
30d K%
31.9%
30d Barrel%
9.5%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.442
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.556
Behind xwOBA(con)
.407
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.511
Ahead Whiff%
34.7%
2-strike Whiff%
38.1%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.310
RISP
.408
Loaded
.500
High leverage
.352
Clutch
.430
Innings 1-3
.476
Innings 4-6
.546
Innings 7+
.472

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jun 24, 2026 · -109

LOSS

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