MLB · AL Central

Matt Vierling

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Detroit TigersOFBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerBelow avg

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Matt Vierling has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    40%43%45%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%7%10%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%7%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    20%17%27%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%13%
  • Over 3.5
    10%10%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.201

OBP

.259

SLG

.342

OPS

.601

HR

5

K%

16%

Last 10: 5-for-28 (.179) · 1 HR · 5 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 220 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.326
27
Avg Exit V
87.4 mph
36
Barrel %
6.0%
34
Hard-Hit %
39.8%
25
Chase %
30.9%
44
Whiff %
14.2%
91
K %
16.4%
81
BB %
7.7%
39

Where he hits it

22%LF18%LCF18%CF22%RCF11%RF← Pull

37%

Pull

36%

Center

28%

Oppo

Pull-air 17% of BIP · 89.5 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.822OPS86 PA
vs RHP.466OPS134 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball4.500.750.30618.8%0.0%25.0%0.0%89.8 mph2.8°
Sinker6.333.667.32420.5%33.3%77.8%33.3%91.7 mph13.0°
Changeup9.250.250.24742.5%33.3%0.0%0.0%75.0 mph32.3°
Four-seam24.056.222.2668.1%16.7%53.0%11.6%93.8 mph22.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.299
xSLG
.463
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
106.9
EV90
102.9
Launch angle
17.3°
Sweet-spot%
33.7%
Avg distance
317 ft
EV on barrels
101.8
EV on hard-hit
100.3
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
63.5%
O-Contact%
75.8%
Z-Contact%
90.4%
Contact%
85.8%
SwStr%
6.8%
CSW%
26.1%
In-zone%
50.8%
1st-pitch swing%
18.2%
2-strike K%
32.1%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.303
7d K%
21.1%
7d Barrel%
7.1%
7d Whiff%
15.4%
14d xwOBA(con)
.278
14d K%
17.2%
14d Barrel%
4.3%
30d xwOBA(con)
.273
30d K%
14.7%
30d Barrel%
5.5%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.337
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.286
Behind xwOBA(con)
.369
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.321
Ahead Whiff%
12.9%
2-strike Whiff%
14.0%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.270
RISP
.311
Loaded
.225
High leverage
.263
Clutch
.245
Innings 1-3
.317
Innings 4-6
.330
Innings 7+
.331

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Matt Vierling OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros · Jun 17, 2026 · +185

LOSS

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