MLB · AL Central

Miguel Vargas

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago White Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Miguel Vargas has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%70%65%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    10%17%19%
  • Over 2.5
    0%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%17%19%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%30%36%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    10%23%24%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%20%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.244

OBP

.353

SLG

.481

OPS

.834

HR

18

K%

17%

Last 10: 9-for-38 (.237) · 2 HR · 9 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 343 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.431
88
Avg Exit V
90.0 mph
71
Barrel %
14.2%
92
Hard-Hit %
53.4%
77
Chase %
20.8%
95
Whiff %
16.6%
85
K %
17.2%
77
BB %
13.1%
92

Where he hits it

28%LF25%LCF15%CF11%RCF14%RF← Pull

46%

Pull

28%

Center

26%

Oppo

Pull-air 33% of BIP · 96.8 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.067OPS104 PA
vs RHP.734OPS239 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter13.200.500.27225.7%23.1%12.5%0.0%80.6 mph27.1°
Sinker58.180.380.3985.7%13.8%48.8%14.0%91.7 mph13.7°
Slider68.276.397.35026.1%20.6%35.3%9.8%84.2 mph15.7°
Four-seam73.183.350.35623.8%23.3%39.1%15.2%93.0 mph28.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.344
xSLG
.679
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.9
EV90
104.0
Launch angle
19.6°
Sweet-spot%
42.7%
Avg distance
346 ft
EV on barrels
104.4
EV on hard-hit
101.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
69.3%
O-Contact%
76.4%
Z-Contact%
85.6%
Contact%
83.4%
SwStr%
7.4%
CSW%
22.4%
In-zone%
49.0%
1st-pitch swing%
33.8%
2-strike K%
34.1%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.443
7d K%
20.8%
7d Barrel%
11.1%
7d Whiff%
21.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.476
14d K%
21.3%
14d Barrel%
13.9%
30d xwOBA(con)
.468
30d K%
17.6%
30d Barrel%
12.8%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.387
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.441
Behind xwOBA(con)
.408
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.390
Ahead Whiff%
16.7%
2-strike Whiff%
16.1%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.331
RISP
.415
Loaded
1.000
High leverage
.402
Clutch
.262
Innings 1-3
.483
Innings 4-6
.440
Innings 7+
.353

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees · Jun 17, 2026 · +140

WIN

Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 HR

Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jun 5, 2026 · +460

LOSS

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