MLB · AL Central

Miguel Vargas

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago White Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Miguel Vargas has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%70%66%
Over 1.5
20%20%20%
Over 2.5
10%10%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%20%20%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%33%37%
Over 2.5
20%27%25%
Over 3.5
20%23%23%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.244

OBP

.353

SLG

.481

OPS

.834

17%

Last 10: 9-for-38 (.237) · 2 HR · 9 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 343 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.431

Avg Exit V

90.0 mph

Barrel %

14.2%

Hard-Hit %

53.4%

Chase %

20.8%

Whiff %

16.6%

K %

17.2%

BB %

13.1%

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

28%

Center

26%

Oppo

Pull-air 33% of BIP · 96.8 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.067OPS104 PA

vs RHP.734OPS239 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Changeup	9	.422	.911	.634	7.1%	0.0%	42.2%	26.7%	94.1 mph	27.9°
Cutter	9	.370	1.148	.388	17.8%	11.1%	55.6%	11.1%	91.6 mph	9.9°
Curveball	9	.000	.000	.364	12.5%	0.0%	38.9%	0.0%	80.4 mph	-5.9°
Sinker	17	.068	.068	.320	7.1%	17.6%	41.2%	8.8%	88.1 mph	13.6°
Slider	25	.430	.610	.496	24.0%	16.0%	36.0%	18.0%	87.4 mph	24.4°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.344

xSLG

.679

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.9

EV90

104.0

Launch angle

19.6°

Sweet-spot%

42.7%

Avg distance

346 ft

EV on barrels

104.4

EV on hard-hit

101.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.3%

O-Contact%

76.4%

Z-Contact%

85.6%

Contact%

83.4%

SwStr%

7.4%

CSW%

22.4%

In-zone%

49.0%

1st-pitch swing%

33.8%

2-strike K%

34.1%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.443

7d K%

20.8%

7d Barrel%

11.1%

7d Whiff%

21.9%

14d xwOBA(con)

.476

14d K%

21.3%

14d Barrel%

13.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.468

30d K%

17.6%

30d Barrel%

12.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.387

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.441

Behind xwOBA(con)

.408

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.390

Ahead Whiff%

16.7%

2-strike Whiff%

16.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.331

RISP

.415

Loaded

1.000

High leverage

.402

Clutch

.262

Innings 1-3

.483

Innings 4-6

.440

Innings 7+

.353

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees · Jun 17, 2026 · +140

WIN

Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 HR

Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jun 5, 2026 · +460

LOSS

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