MLB · NL Central

Nathan Church

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

St. Louis CardinalsOFBats: L · Throws: L

FormHotPowerAverage

The read

League-average power. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nathan Church has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%60%55%
Over 1.5
20%27%22%
Over 2.5
0%3%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%0%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%40%33%
Over 2.5
10%13%17%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%3%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.265↑

OBP

.310

SLG

.405

OPS

.715

22%

Last 10: 9-for-24 (.375) · 0 HR · 5 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 200 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.350

Avg Exit V

84.8 mph

Barrel %

9.1%

Hard-Hit %

37.8%

Chase %

44.3%

Whiff %

22.1%

K %

21.5%

BB %

5.5%

Where he hits it

43%

Pull

29%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 19% of BIP · 95.1 mph · 30° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.558OPS44 PA

vs RHP.761OPS156 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	8	.250	.375	.347	11.1%	12.5%	44.4%	0.0%	87.3 mph	10.2°
Cutter	12	.500	1.200	.481	12.5%	0.0%	45.5%	9.1%	92.2 mph	4.1°
Sinker	21	.254	.444	.384	10.2%	0.0%	30.2%	19.0%	84.3 mph	-18.2°
Changeup	49	.225	.306	.228	29.0%	26.5%	26.3%	5.3%	83.4 mph	12.9°
Four-seam	57	.281	.363	.320	19.3%	29.8%	35.2%	8.3%	87.4 mph	13.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.321

xSLG

.507

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

110.1

EV90

102.1

Launch angle

8.4°

Sweet-spot%

35.0%

Avg distance

318 ft

EV on barrels

103.4

EV on hard-hit

101.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

70.8%

O-Contact%

70.2%

Z-Contact%

83.3%

Contact%

77.9%

SwStr%

12.5%

CSW%

26.1%

In-zone%

47.0%

1st-pitch swing%

34.5%

2-strike K%

38.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.372

7d K%

8.3%

7d Barrel%

11.1%

7d Whiff%

17.4%

14d xwOBA(con)

.373

14d K%

25.7%

14d Barrel%

9.5%

30d xwOBA(con)

.337

30d K%

23.3%

30d Barrel%

7.1%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.314

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.407

Behind xwOBA(con)

.272

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.317

Ahead Whiff%

21.6%

2-strike Whiff%

18.5%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.281

RISP

.261

Loaded

.000

High leverage

.322

Clutch

.413

Innings 1-3

.346

Innings 4-6

.321

Innings 7+

.387

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.