MLB · NL Central

Nathan Church

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

St. Louis CardinalsOFBats: L · Throws: L
FormHotPowerAverage

The read

League-average power. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nathan Church has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    70%63%56%
  • Over 1.5
    20%27%22%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    0%0%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%43%34%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%17%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%3%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.268↑

OBP

.313

SLG

.410

OPS

.723

HR

5

K%

21%

Last 10: 10-for-28 (.357) · 0 HR · 8 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 198 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.353
44
Avg Exit V
84.7 mph
12
Barrel %
9.2%
63
Hard-Hit %
38.0%
20
Chase %
44.1%
2
Whiff %
21.8%
54
K %
21.2%
53
BB %
5.6%
16

Where he hits it

9%LF19%LCF17%CF20%RCF25%RFPull →

43%

Pull

28%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 19% of BIP · 95.1 mph · 30° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.558OPS44 PA
vs RHP.771OPS154 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball8.250.375.34711.1%12.5%44.4%0.0%87.3 mph10.2°
Cutter12.5001.200.48112.5%0.0%45.5%9.1%92.2 mph4.1°
Slider48.223.357.25826.0%25.0%26.9%10.9%81.4 mph17.3°
Four-seam56.287.370.32618.4%28.6%35.2%8.3%87.4 mph13.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.323
xSLG
.511
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
110.1
EV90
102.1
Launch angle
8.2°
Sweet-spot%
35.2%
Avg distance
319 ft
EV on barrels
103.4
EV on hard-hit
101.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
70.9%
O-Contact%
70.5%
Z-Contact%
83.7%
Contact%
78.2%
SwStr%
12.3%
CSW%
25.9%
In-zone%
47.0%
1st-pitch swing%
34.3%
2-strike K%
38.2%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.454
7d K%
0.0%
7d Barrel%
15.4%
7d Whiff%
6.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.349
14d K%
21.9%
14d Barrel%
7.4%
30d xwOBA(con)
.349
30d K%
21.9%
30d Barrel%
7.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.325
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.407
Behind xwOBA(con)
.272
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.317
Ahead Whiff%
21.6%
2-strike Whiff%
18.0%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.284
RISP
.269
Loaded
.000
High leverage
.327
Clutch
.413
Innings 1-3
.346
Innings 4-6
.321
Innings 7+
.396

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.