MLB · NL Central

Nathan Church

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

St. Louis CardinalsOFBats: L · Throws: L
FormHotPowerAverage

The read

League-average power. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nathan Church has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%60%55%
  • Over 1.5
    20%27%22%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    0%0%7%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%40%33%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%17%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%3%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.261

OBP

.305

SLG

.399

OPS

.704

HR

5

K%

21%

Last 10: 8-for-23 (.348) · 0 HR · 3 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 203 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.346
39
Avg Exit V
84.8 mph
13
Barrel %
8.9%
62
Hard-Hit %
37.0%
18
Chase %
44.4%
2
Whiff %
22.1%
53
K %
21.2%
55
BB %
5.4%
15

Where he hits it

9%LF19%LCF17%CF21%RCF25%RFPull →

43%

Pull

28%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 19% of BIP · 95.1 mph · 30° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.558OPS44 PA
vs RHP.746OPS159 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

4 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter3.500.500.44314.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%77.4 mph-12.0°
Sinker7.143.143.2649.5%0.0%28.6%0.0%81.7 mph-29.0°
Slider10.240.480.35218.0%20.0%41.7%28.3%88.6 mph16.3°
Four-seam13.455.727.31926.8%30.8%28.6%0.0%88.7 mph8.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.316
xSLG
.500
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
110.1
EV90
102.1
Launch angle
8.8°
Sweet-spot%
34.9%
Avg distance
315 ft
EV on barrels
103.4
EV on hard-hit
101.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
71.0%
O-Contact%
70.2%
Z-Contact%
83.5%
Contact%
77.9%
SwStr%
12.5%
CSW%
26.0%
In-zone%
46.7%
1st-pitch swing%
34.0%
2-strike K%
38.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.320
7d K%
7.7%
7d Barrel%
9.1%
7d Whiff%
21.7%
14d xwOBA(con)
.361
14d K%
15.6%
14d Barrel%
9.1%
30d xwOBA(con)
.315
30d K%
21.7%
30d Barrel%
6.5%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.314
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.389
Behind xwOBA(con)
.270
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.315
Ahead Whiff%
20.9%
2-strike Whiff%
18.4%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.279
RISP
.261
Loaded
.000
High leverage
.320
Clutch
.404
Innings 1-3
.338
Innings 4-6
.318
Innings 7+
.383

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.