MLB · AL East

Nathan Lukes

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysOFBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerPoor

At a glance

This season

.304

OBP

.349

SLG

.407

OPS

.757

2 HR · 14 RBI · 22 K (15%) · 6 BB · 146 PA

MLB avg · .247 / .318 / .404 · .722 OPS

Last 10 games

.286

RBI

10-for-35

Quality of contact

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season (≥80 AB pool). The dot is this player — further right is better on every metric. Based on 146 plate appearances. "xwOBA (con)" is expected wOBA on contact.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.324

Avg Exit V

85.4 mph

Barrel %

0.9%

Hard-Hit %

30.7%

Chase %

37.8%

Whiff %

15.8%

K %

15.1%

BB %

4.1%

Spray distribution

Where this hitter puts the ball in play. The greener (more saturated) a sector, the larger his share of batted balls there; the pull/center/oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below.

42%

Pull

29%

Center

29%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 82.6 mph · 39° LA

Advanced (Statcast)

Batted ball · discipline · situationalthrough Sat Jun 20

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.333

xSLG

.419

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

107.5

EV90

100.7

Launch angle

10.6°

Sweet-spot%

33.3%

Avg distance

300 ft

EV on barrels

100.8

EV on hard-hit

100.0

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

64.2%

O-Contact%

83.0%

Z-Contact%

84.9%

Contact%

84.2%

SwStr%

8.1%

CSW%

24.3%

In-zone%

49.3%

1st-pitch swing%

29.9%

2-strike K%

27.5%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.269

7d K%

0.0%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

15.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.288

14d K%

18.6%

14d Barrel%

0.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.343

30d K%

16.7%

30d Barrel%

1.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.279

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.301

Behind xwOBA(con)

.364

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.306

Ahead Whiff%

11.7%

2-strike Whiff%

9.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.346

RISP

.277

Loaded

.417

High leverage

.374

Clutch

.337

Innings 1-3

.331

Innings 4-6

.293

Innings 7+

.342

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Split by opposing hand

Hits righties much harder than lefties.

Stat	League	vs Lefties	vs Righties
BA	.247	.143	.333
OBP	.318	.250	.369
SLG	.404	.143	.456
OPS	.722	.393	.825
Sample	—	24 PA	122 PA

Pitch-by-pitch breakdown

How he performs against each pitch. Filter by pitch type, opposing pitcher hand, or recency. Color signal: green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	45	.324	.349	.309	15.7%	17.8%	32.3%	0.0%	85.6 mph	17.7°
Sinker	31	.235	.235	.260	8.5%	16.1%	23.7%	0.0%	88.1 mph	-1.4°
Curveball	17	.353	.706	.407	10.7%	11.8%	46.7%	0.0%	90.4 mph	15.9°

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathan Lukes OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 18, 2026 · +145

WIN

Nathan Lukes OVER 1.5 Total Bases

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LOSS

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